Category Archives: Cash Flow

Financial Freedom

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“It’s the ability to live and maintain the lifestyle which you desire without having to work or rely on anyone for money.” T Harv Eker

Financial Peace guru Dave Ramsey proclaims that “Financial freedom means that you get to make life decisions without being overly stressed about the financial impact because you are prepared. You control your finances instead of being controlled by them.”

It’s about having complete control over your finances which is the fruit of hard work, sacrifice and time. And, as a result, all of that effort and planning was well worth it!

Nevertheless, reaching financial freedom may be challenging but not impossible. It also may seem complicated, but in just a straightforward calculation, you can easily estimate of how much money you’ll need to be financially free.

What is financial freedom? Financial freedom is the ability to live the remainder of your life without outside help, working if you choose, but doing so only if you desire. It’s the ability to have the things you want and need, despite any occurrence other than the most catastrophic of outside circumstance.

To calculate your Financial Freedom Number, the total amount of money required to give you a sufficient income to cover your living expenses for the rest of your life

Step 1: Calculate Your Spending

Know how much you are spending each year. If you’ve done a financial analysis (net worth and cash flow), created a budget, and monitored your cash flow, then you’re ahead.

Take your monthly budget and multiply that amount by 12. Make sure you include periodic expenses such as annual premiums and dues or quarterly bills. Also include continued monthly contributions into accounts like your emergency fund, vacation clubs, car maintenance, etc.

Add all these together to get your Yearly Spending Total.

Keep in mind the lower the spending total, the lower the amount of money you’ll need to become financially independent. Learn how to lower your monthly household expenses and determine the difference between needs and wants.

Step 2: Choose Your Safe Withdrawal Rate

The safe withdrawal rate (also referred to as SWR) is a conservative method that retirees use to determine how much money can be withdrawn from accounts each year without running out of money for the rest of their lives.

The safe withdrawal rate method instructs financially independent people to take out a small percentage between 3-4% of their investment portfolios to mitigate worst-case scenarios. This withdrawal percentage is from the Trinity Study.

The Trinity Study found the 4% rule applies through all market ups and downs. By making sure you do not withdraw more than 4% of your initial investments each year, your assets should last for the rest of your life.

Step 3: Calculate Your Financial Independence (FI) Number

Your FI number is your Yearly Spending Total divided by your Safe Withdrawal Rate.

To find the amount of money you’ll need to be financially independent, take your Yearly Spending Total and divide it by your SWR.

For example:

  • Yearly Spending: $40,000
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate: 4%

Financial Independence Number = Yearly Spending / SWR

  • $40,000 / 0.04 = $1,000,000

Who becomes financially free? According to most financial advisors, compulsive savers and discipline investors tend to become financially free since:

  • They live on and spend less they earn.
  • They organize their time, energy and money efficiently in ways conducive to building wealth.
  • They have a strong belief that gaining financial freedom and independence is far more important than displaying high social status and financial symbols.
  • Their parents did not keep on helping them financially.
  • They have a keen insight to recognize financial and wealth building opportunities.

Net worth is the most important number in personal finance and represents your financial scorecard. Your net worth includes your investments, but it also includes other assets that might not generate income for you. Net Worth can be defined to mean:

  • Income (earned or passive)
  • Savings
  • Investing to grow and to put your money to work for you)
  • Simple and more frugal lifestyle

Financial freedom means different things to different people, and different people need vastly different amounts of wealth to feel financially free.

Maybe financial freedom means being debt-free, or having more time to spend with your family, or being able to quit corporate America, or having $5,000 a month in passive income, or making enough money to work from your laptop anywhere in the world, or having enough money so you never have to work another day in your life.

Ultimately, the amount you need comes down to the life you want to live, where you want to live it, what you value, and what brings you joy. Joy is defined as a feeling of great pleasure and happiness caused by something exceptionally good, satisfying, or delightful—aka “The Good Life.”

It is worth clearly articulating what the different levels of financial freedom mean. Grant Sabatier’s book, Financial Freedom: A Proven Path to All the Money You’ll Ever Need, the levels of financial freedom are:

Seven Levels of Financial Freedom

  1. Clarity, when you figure out where you are financially (net worth and cash flow) and where you want to go
  2. Self-sufficiency, when you earn enough money to cover your expenses
  3. Breathing room, when you escape living paycheck to paycheck
  4. Stability, when you have six months of living expenses saved and bad debt, like credit card debt, repaid
  5. Flexibility, when you have at least two years of living expenses invested
  6. Financial independence, when you can live off the income generated by your investments and work becomes optional
  7. Abundant wealth, when you have more money than you’ll ever need

The difference between income and wealth: Wealth is accumulated assets, cash, stocks, bonds, real estate investments, and they have passive income. Simply, they don’t have to work if they don’t want to.

Accumulating wealth and becoming wealthy requires knowing what you want, discipline, taking responsibility and have a plan.

Hundreds of thousands of Americans have great incomes, but you wouldn’t call them wealthy because of debt and lack of accumulated assets, instead:

  • They owe for their homes
  • They owe for their cars and boats.
  • They have little savings and investments
  • They have few “paid for” assets
  • They have negative net worth

Essentially, if you make a great income and spend it all, you will not become wealthy. Often, high income earners’ true net worth is far less than they think it is.

Here are several factors and steps to improve your financial life:

  • Establishing financial goals
  • Paying yourself first and automate the process
  • Creating and sticking to a budget. Know where you money goes.
  • Paying down and/or eliminating credit card and other bad debt. Debt which is taking from your future to pay for your past.
  • Saving for the future and investing for the long term consistently
  • Investing the maximum in your employer’s 401(k)
  • Living on and spending less than you earn
  • Simplify – separating your needs from your wants. You don’t need to keep buying stuff.

Financial freedom can look something like this:

  • Freedom to choose a career you love without worrying about money
  • Freedom to take a luxury vacation every year without it straining your budget
  • Freedom to pay cash for a new boat
  • Freedom to respond to the needs of others with outrageous generosity
  • Freedom to retire a whole decade early

When you have financial freedom, you have options.

“Your worth consists in what you are and not in what you have. What you are will show in what you do.” Thomas Edison

References:

  1. https://www.phroogal.com/calculate-financial-independence-number/
  2. https://www.ramseysolutions.com/retirement/what-is-financial-freedom
  3. https://thefinanciallyindependentmillennial.com/steps-to-financial-freedom/

Discounted Cash Flow

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Investments are the discounted present value of all future free cash flow.

Discounted cash flow (DCF) is a method of investment valuation in which future cash flows are discounted back to a present value using the time-value of money.

Present value (PV) is a financial calculation that measures the worth of a future amount of money or an investment’s future cash flow in today’s dollars adjusted for interest and inflation. In other words, it compares the buying power of one future dollar to purchasing power of one today.

PV is an indication of whether the money an investor receives today can earn a return in the future. Investors calculate the present value of a firm’s expected cash flows to decide if the stock is worth investing in today.

An investment’s worth is equal to the present value of all projected discounted future cash flows.

Discounted cash flow is a way of evaluating a potential investment by estimating future income streams and determining the present worth of all of those cash flows in order to compare the cost of the investment to its return.

When an investor is trying to determine how to spend capital, it is important to determine whether or not investments will result in a positive return. The DCF method allows an investor to determine the value of the future projected cash flow in today’s dollars. An investor can subtract the amount spent on the investment from the present value of future cash flows to calculate the net present value of the investment.

In other words, they can calculate how much money the investment will make in today’s dollars and compare it with the cost of the investment. NPV and Internal Rate of Return are the methods used in Discounted Cash Flow.

The Net Present Value (NPV) represents the present value of cash flow. The NPV can also be called as the difference between the present values of cash inflow and cash outflow. To calculate the net present value of an investment using the discounted cash flows method:

Example – an investor is considering investing in property that would cost his LLC $1,000,000 and he hold it for 5 years. What is the net present value of this investment using the discounted cash flows method?

The investor determined the discount rate to be 10%. With this information, he calculated the following future discounted cash flows:

  • Year 1 = $130,000
  • Year 2 = $150,000
  • Year 3 = $200,000
  • Year 4 = $210,000
  • Year 5 = $200,000

The total projected cash flows is $890,000.

The net present value of this investment is $890,000-$1,000,000 which is equal to -$110,000.

In this example, an investor should not make this investment because the original cost (cost basis) is greater than the value of the future discounted cash flow creating a negative return over the time period.

As in this example, the DCF is compared with the initial investment. If the DCF is greater than the original cost, the investment is profitable. The higher the DCF, the greater return the investment generates. If the DCF is lower than the present cost, investors should rather hold the cash.

An investor’s expected cash flows are at a discount rate that is actually the expected return. The discount rate is inversely correlated to the future cash flows. The higher the discount rate, the lower the present value of the expected cash flows.

The NPV represents the present value of cash flow and is generally used for comparing both the internal and the external investments of a company. DCF is a method to calculate the value of an investment based on the present value of its future cash flow.

References:

  1. https://www.myaccountingcourse.com/accounting-dictionary/discounted-cash-flow
  2. https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/valuation/discounted-cash-flow-dcf/
  3. https://www.myaccountingcourse.com/accounting-dictionary/present-value

Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio (P/FCF)

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Free Cash Flow (FCF) – The cash left after making investments in capital assets

The price-to-free cash flow ratio (P/FCF) is a valuation method used to compare a company’s current market share price to its per-share free cash flow.

Free cash flow (FCF) measures a company’s financial performance. It measures how much cash a business can generate after accounting for capital expenditures such as buildings or equipment. In other words, FCF measures a company’s ability to produce what investors care most about: cash that’s available to be distributed in a discretionary way.

FCF is calculated with the formula below:

Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flow (CFO) – Capital Expenditures

Most information needed to compute a company’s FCF is on the cash flow statement. As an example, let Company A have $22 million dollars of cash from its business operations and $6.5 million dollars used for capital expenditures, net of changes in working capital. Company A’s FCF is then computed as:

FCF = $22 – $6.5 = $15.5m

Free cash flow relies heavily on the state of a company’s cash from operations (CFO). The cash from operations deals with the cash inflows and outflows directly related to the company’s primary activity: selling a good or service. Cash from operations is heavily influenced by the company’s net income (excluding depreciation).  

The presence of free cash flow indicates that a company has cash to expand, develop new products, buy back stock, pay dividends, or reduce its debt. High or rising free cash flow is often a sign of a healthy and growing company that is thriving in its current environment.

For investors, free cash flow measures a company’s ability to generate cash, which is a fundamental basis for stock pricing. This is why some people value free cash flow more than just about any other financial measure out there, including earnings per share or book value per share.

Investors should understand that companies can manipulate their free cash flow by lengthening the time they take to pay the bills (preserving their cash), shortening the time it takes to collect what’s owed to them (accelerating the receipt of cash), and putting off buying inventory (preserving cash). Also, companies have some leeway about what items are or are not considered capital expenditures, and the investor should be aware of this when comparing the free cash flow of different companies.

Since FCF has a direct impact on the worth of a company, investors should hunt for companies that have high or improving free cash flow but low correlated market share prices.

Low P/FCF ratios typically can mean the shares of the underlying company are undervalued. Thus, the lower the P/FCF ratio, the “cheaper” and better value the stock remains. 

The best, most successful investors are continually learning and continually honing and expanding their skills at making money in the financial markets.

References:

  1. https://investinganswers.com/dictionary/p/price-free-cash-flow-ratio-pfcf
  2. https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/valuation/what-is-free-cash-flow-fcf/
  3. https://investinganswers.com/dictionary/f/free-cash-flow

Intrinsic Value of a Company

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“Intrinsic value is an all-important concept that offers the only logical approach to evaluating the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses. Intrinsic value can be defined simply: It is the discounted value of the cash that can be taken out of a business during its remaining life.”  Warren Buffett

Intrinsic value is an important concept to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

Intrinsic value can be defined as the discounted value of the cash that can be taken out of a business during its remaining life, explains investing guru Warren Buffett, Chairman and CEO, Berkshire Hathaway. It measures the value of an investment based on its current and future cash flows. Where market value tells you the current price per share other investors are willing to pay for an asset, intrinsic value shows you the asset’s value based on an analysis of its future cash flows and its actual financial performance.

Essentially, valuing a company intrinsically allows you to look analytically at a business and determine how much cash that business will generate over time, and then you discount the cash flows back to the present day.

Book value vs intrinsic value

In most cases, a company’s book value tends to understate its intrinsic value because many businesses are worth much more than their ‘carrying value’. The ‘carrying value’ is the original cost of an asset as reflected in a company’s books or balance sheet, minus the accumulated depreciation of the asset.

As a result, a company’s intrinsic value often exceed its book value, a result that proves capital was wisely deployed. In many cases, book value is not a reliable indicator of intrinsic value or a true representation of an asset’s fair value or market value. Thus, a company’s book value alone is somewhat meaningless as an indicator of its intrinsic value.

However, intrinsic value tend to be only effective on stocks that are stable and less volatile so that you can reliably valuate. If you see the book value growth and dividends all over the place, your estimates would be very uncertain.

You need 3 factors to determine a company’s intrinsic value:

  • Current free cash flow or owner’s earnings
  • Free cash flow growth rate over an eight to ten year period. Determine free cash flow growth rates by looking at past 5 year and 10 year growth rate.
  • Discount rate to discount future free cash flow to present day.

Discounted future cash flows

Cash taken out of a business in the future is not worth the same as it is today. If you had the money today you could invest it today. Money in the future is partly eaten up by inflation, but more importantly more uncertain if it is there at all.

The calculation of intrinsic value is not so simple. Intrinsic value is an estimate rather than a precise figure, and it is additionally an estimate that must be changed if interest rates move or forecasts of future cash flows are revised.

To calculate owner earnings, or another way to look and to calculate free cash flow, one adds things back in such as depreciation, changes in working capital and such. Buffett feels that “owner’s earnings” more accurately reflects the actual cash flow that an owner receives.

Net present value for the ten years and your discounted terminal value for the 10th year we can calculate the intrinsic value.

When investing in a company, you first must determine the value of the company according to your estimates of discounted cash flow. You want the biggest difference between its intrinsic value (high as possible) and its market price which is the current price of the stock that is traded on the exchange (low as possible). Over time, you should expect the market value to intersect its intrinsic value.

When you arrive at an intrinsic value it will not necessarily match the current market value or price of the stock. In most cases you will find that there is a vast difference. You have potentially found a great company at a bargain and with a margin of safety. If the market price is much higher than the intrinsic value, it is also great. You can avoid the common mistake made by many retail investors of overpaying for a stock.

Knowing the value of a stock is perhaps the most desired skill. And in summary, intrinsic value is simply the discounted value of the cash that can be taken out of a business during its remaining life, according to Warren Buffett.

References:

  1. https://einvestingforbeginners.com/intrinsic-value-warren-buffett-aher/
  2. https://acquirersmultiple.com/2017/02/warren-buffett-how-to-calculate-intrinsic-value/
  3. https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/accounting/carrying-amount/
  4. https://www.buffettsbooks.com/how-to-invest-in-stocks/intermediate-course/lesson-21/

Own Your Net Worth and Cash Flow

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8 out of 10 women will be solely responsible for their financial well-being. Some women will be ready. Many won’t. UBS Wealth Management Report

As women’s life expectancies increase and the rate of divorce for individuals over age 50 continues to climb, more women will find themselves solely responsible for their own current and long term financial well-being.

UBS Wealth Management embarked on research–Own Your Worth–to explore women’s thoughts and feelings, the challenges they faced, lessons they learned and advice they would impart to other women.

With the wisdom of hindsight, nearly 60% of widows and divorcees regrettably wish they had been more involved in long-term financial decisions while they were married, according to UBS’ findings. A full 98% of them urge other women to become more involved early on.

Unfortunately, too many women ignore the advice of widows and divorcees. In direct contrast to the advice, many married women are taking a lesser role in managing the household finances. In a counterintuitive twist, Millennials are the most willing to leave investing and financial planning decisions to their husbands.

Fifty-six percent of married women still leave investment decisions to their husbands, according to UBS. Surprisingly, 61% of Millennial women do so, more than any other generation. What’s more, most women are quite content with their backseat role when it comes to investing and financial planning.

UBS’ research reveals many reasons for women’s abdication, from historical and social precedents to family, gender roles and confidence levels.

So. why do women minimize their role in major financial decisions? According to USB’ research, the reasons vary:

  • Gender roles run deep – Gender roles are ingrained from early in life and often prove hard to shake. In many cases, married couples are simply imitating the gender roles they witnessed growing up.
  • Men are still the breadwinners – Within families, 70% of men are the main breadwinners, in part because of the gender pay gap and the career breaks women take to raise children.
  • Time constraints are challenging – Whether married or not, women have many demands on their time. They take on the majority of household duties, including childcare and chores, as well as paying bills and tracking spending.
  • Competence vs. confidence – Together, history and society have conspired to affect women’s financial confidence. Both women and men think men know more about investing, and women are less confident than men in making major financial decisions. Women consistently underestimate their own abilities while overestimating what is required to be financially involved.

Yet, most study respondents participated in some financial decisions while married, from handling cash flow and bills to saving and investing. Regardless of their level of engagement, however, most agree it wasn’t enough. The research shows:

  • 59% of widows and divorcees wish they had been more involved in long-term financial decisions
  • 74% don’t consider themselves very knowledgeable about investing
  • 64% of widows blame themselves for not being more financially involved (53% of divorcees)
  • 56% of widows and divorcees discover financial surprises
  • 53% would have done fewer household chores to find more time for finances
  • 79% of women who remarry take a more active role

USB recommends three actions to take today

The advice from women who have been there is clear: The time to become involved in your family’s present and future financial well-being is today, not when some unforeseen events happen in the future.

Women are encouraged to get involved in their financial well-being as a form of self care, much in the same way you would take care of your health by:

  1. Owning your worth – Know where you stand and what you want for the future. Take the time to add up your assets and liabilities, like loans, credit and other debts, and ask for full transparency from your partner.
  2. Finding your voice – Start the conversation with your partner. Talking about money is considered taboo to some couples, particularly before they are married. But if you found yourself alone tomorrow, do you know what you’d do to make sure you’re financially secure? There is a tremendous benefit to having open communication about money with a trusted confidante.
  3. Setting an example – Model financial partnership for your family and loved ones. According to our survey, women are repeating the gender roles they saw growing up. As you begin taking a more active role in your finances, you can set an example of financial partnership for the younger generation.

Though women are aware of their increasing longevity and the financial needs associated with it, most tend to focus their efforts on short-term financial responsibilities such as managing the household’s day-to-day expenses and paying the bills.

In contrast, taking charge of long-term financial decisions, such as investing, financial planning and insurance, can have far more impact on their future than balancing a checkbook.

By sharing decisions jointly, both women and men can face the future with optimism—and set an example of financial partnership for generations to come.

Almost 60% of women do not engage in the most important aspects of their financial well-being: investing, insurance, retirement and other long-term planning. USB Wealth Management Report

References:

  1. https://www.ubs.com/content/dam/WealthManagementAmericas/documents/2018-37666-UBS-Own-Your-Worth-report-R32.pdf
  2. https://www.ubs.com/us/en/investor-watch/own-your-worth/_jcr_content/mainpar/toplevelgrid_1797264592/col2/teaser/linklist/link_2127544961.2019551086.file/PS9jb250ZW50L2RhbS9XZWFsdGhNYW5hZ2VtZW50QW1lcmljYXMvZG9jdW1lbnRzL293bi15b3VyLXdvcnRoLXJlcG9ydC5wZGY=/own-your-worth-report.pdf

Take Control of Your Finances

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There are ways to feel more in control of your financial situation–and make the money you have go farther. The key is to take a close look at your current budget and to better manage your cash flow. You can best do this by finding expenses you may be able to pare back or eliminate, and by potentially finding new sources of income.

Smart spending and saving strategies, according to FinTech company SoFi, to follow are:

Create a Budget and Manage Your Cash Flow – Take a close look at your monthly spending to get a full picture of your spending, and start tracking your spending (every cash/debit/credit card transaction and every bill you pay) for a month or so.

Once you understand your average monthly spending, compare it to what’s coming in. You can look at your bank statements for the past few months to get an idea of much after-tax income you are taking in on average per month.

Comparing what is coming in vs. going out will help you know exactly where you stand financially.

Uncovering Places to Save – Once you understand your monthly spending and group your expenses into categories, the next step is to list your expenses in order of priority, starting with the essentials and going down to the “nice to haves.”

Once you’ve established which expenses are the most important, you can start looking for places to cut some of your unnecessary spending. For example, if you are spending a lot on restaurants and take-out, you might consider cooking at home a few more nights a week.

Negotiating with Service Providers – You may be able to negotiate for a lower rate from many of your providers, especially if you’re dealing with a company that’s in a competitive market.

Before you call or email a business or provider, it is important to know exactly how much you’re paying for a service, what you’re getting for your money, and how much the competition is charging for the same or similar service.

It’s also a good idea to make sure you are communicating with someone who actually has the power to lower your rate and, if not, ask to speak with someone who does.

You may also want to let providers know that if they can’t do better, you may decide to switch to another company.

Cutting Back on Bigger Expenses – Look at the big items in your overall budget. For example, if your car payment too high, you could buy a less expensive to cut monthly payments.

If rent is eating up too much of your income, you might want to look into finding a cheaper place to live that’s still nice, taking in a roommate, or moving in with friends.

The lower you keep these costs, the easier it will be to live well within a tight budget.

Knocking Down Debt – Having too much debt can hamper your chances of achieving financial security down the line.

That’s because when you’re spending a lot of money on interest each month, it can be harder to pay all of your other expenses on time, not to mention grow your savings.

Reducing debt may seem like a tall mountain to climb, but choosing the right debt reduction strategy may be able to help you chip away and slowly improve your financial situation.

Since credit card debt typically costs the most in interest, you might consider tackling these debts first, and then move on to the debt with the next-highest interest rate, and so on.

Starting an Emergency Fund – Start putting a little bit away into an emergency fund each month a priority: An unexpected expense—like your car breaking down or a visit to an urgent care clinic—could put you over the financial edge.

If you start putting just a small amount aside each month into an emergency fund, it won’t be long before you have a decent financial cushion that could prevent you from having to run up high interest credit debt the next time something unexpected rolls around.

Spending Only Cash for Everyday Expenses – Using plastic that can make it feel like you are not really spending money. Thus, switching to cash (and leaving the credit cards at home) for other expenses can be a great idea when money is tight.

The reason is that using cash places a harder limit on your spending and helps you become more aware of your choices. When you can literally see your money going somewhere, you may find yourself becoming much more intentional in the way you spend it.

Another benefit of cash is that it’s more difficult to get into debt since you can’t spend cash you don’t have.

Starting a Side Gig – Once you’ve done some basic budgeting, it may be clear that additional income could help ease things while money is tight.

Sometimes all it takes is some extra time and energy, but taking on a side hustle, or using your talents to pick up some freelance work can bring in additional income.

Some ideas for generating extra income include:

  • Selling things on eBay or Craigslist
  • Hold a garage sale
  • Creating an Etsy store and selling homemade goods
  • Driving for a rideshare or food delivery service
  • Giving music lessons
  • Renting out a room on Airbnb
  • Walking dogs
  • Cleaning houses
  • Babysitting
  • Handling social media for small businesses
  • Selling writing, photography, or videography services to clients

Start saving and investing, immediately – Your first financial goal should be to create an emergency fund and to establish the discipline for saving by “Paying yourself first”. To take advantage of compound interest, start investing early and regularly.

Takeaways

You can gain control of your finances by calmly sitting down, creating a budget, and determining your cash flow. This entails looking at your monthly income, as well as your average monthly spending, and seeing how it all lines up.

To create a monthly budget, you must allot funds for expenses such as rent and other bills, then sets aside a small amount directly for savings and uses the rest to live off for the month

Once you have a sense of your cash flow, you can take steps to reduce unnecessary spending, negotiate to lower monthly bills, chip away at expensive debt, and even start building a financial cushion.

References:

  1. https://www.sofi.com/learn/content/what-to-do-when-money-is-tight/
  2. https://www.usatoday.com/story/college/2012/04/25/7-steps-to-take-control-of-your-financial-future/37391767/

Advantages to Taking Social Security Benefits at Age 62

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“Social Security’s trust funds will become unable to pay full benefits starting in 2034, one year earlier than estimated last year.” Social Security Administration Trustee Report

Social Security has two programs, one for retirees and another that provides disability benefits. The Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund will become unable to pay full benefits starting in 2033, a year earlier than projected in 2020, while the Disability Insurance Trust Fund will become depleted in 2057, or 8 years earlier, according to Social Security Administration.

The U.S. economic recession caused by COVID-19 led to a drop in U.S. employment and a resulting decrease in payroll tax revenue, which accelerates the depletion of Social Security’s reserves.

When to claim benefits

You can start receiving your Social Security retirement benefits as early as age 62. And, there are advantages and disadvantages to taking your benefit before your full retirement age.  Matter of fact, 31% of women and 27% of men claim their Social Security benefits as soon as they qualify at age 62 in 2018.

  • The primary advantage is that you collect benefits for a longer period of time.
  • The primary disadvantage is your benefit will be reduced. Each person’s situation is different.

The earliest you can apply for Social Security benefits is four months before the month you want your benefits to start, and the earliest your benefits can start is your first full month as a 62-year-old. For example, if you turn 62 in June, your benefits can begin in July, and you can apply as early as March. And, Social Security Benefits are actually paid one month in arrears in August.

There is an exception: If you were born on the first or second day of a month, you can begin collecting your benefits in that month.

You may need your Social Security Benefits as a source of guaranteed income to help pay bills, or if you anticipate not living long enough to reap the rewards of delaying.

If you start taking Social Security at age 62, rather than waiting until your full retirement age (FRA), you can expect up to a 30% reduction in monthly benefits with lesser reductions as you approach FRA.

Delaying can boost monthly payments compare to claiming early. Colleen, single at age 62 would receive $1,450. At 66 1/2 $2,000. At 70, $2,560. Waiting until age 70 would increase Colleen's montly benefits by more than 765 and her lifetime benefits by at least 24%

Social Security replaces a percentage of your pre-retirement income based on their lifetime earnings. The portion of your pre-retirement wages that Social Security replaces is based on your highest 35 years of earnings and varies depending on how much you earn and when you choose to start benefits.

When you work, you pay taxes into Social Security and the Social Security Administration uses the tax money to pay benefits to:

  • People who have already retired.
  • People who are disabled.
  • Survivors of workers who have died.
  • Dependents of beneficiaries.

The money you pay in taxes isn’t held in a personal account for you to use when you get benefits. We use your taxes to pay people who are getting benefits right now. Any unused money goes to the Social Security trust fund that pays monthly benefits to you and your family when you start receiving retirement benefits.

Living in retirement

You’re officially retired and have worked hard to build up your retirement nest egg. As you transition your mindset from saving to spending, you’ll want to now change your focus: Protect what you have, don’t run out of money, develop a housing strategy for where you’ll live over the next 20–30 years, and hopefully, enjoy life as much as you can with your friends and family.

Claiming Social Security at 62 makes sense in several scenarios. Below are four reasons to consider filing as early as possible.

  1. You’re out of work against non-voluntary – Many people are forced out of a job before they’re ready to retire. If you’ve been downsized and can’t find a new job, Social Security could help replace of your regular paycheck. Furthermore, the coronavirus pandemic has forced a lot of seniors out of the workforce, whether due to layoffs or health concerns. If you’re able to compensate for not working by claiming benefits early, do so since it’s a better bet than racking up debt.
  2. You’re out of work temporarily and need money – Maybe you’re not working right now to address a health issue or lay low until the pandemic is over, but you’re confident you can get back out there in six months. In that case, claiming Social Security at 62 could be a smart move because you can actually use that money as a loan of sorts. One lesser-known Social Security rule is that you’re allowed to undo your filing once in your lifetime. If you claim benefits at 62 but are working again in a few months, you can withdraw your application, repay the SSA the benefits it paid you, and then file again at a later age so you don’t slash your benefits in the process. The only catch is that you must undo your claim and repay your benefits within 12 months. But if you can pull that off, you can collect Social Security on a temporary basis without locking yourself into a lower monthly benefit forever.
  3. You’re tired of working and can get by on your Social Security paycheck – Maybe you have the option to work, but at this point in life, you’re tired of doing it. If your expenses are such that you can get by on your Social Security income, or a combination of Social Security and other income sources, then there comes a point when you should let yourself off the hook after a lifetime of hard work. If you’re going to claim Social Security early for this reason, you should make sure to have a healthy retirement savings balance to compensate for a lower monthly benefit.
  4. You Have Minor or Disabled Children at Home – If you have children, eligible grandchildren, or even a spouse providing care for these children at home, these family members may be eligible for a benefit. There’s a rule that states that before benefits can be paid to anyone off of your work record, you have to be receiving benefits. That means filing early could make more sense than waiting. When combined with your benefits, the benefits to children and your eligible spouse can be up to 180% of your full retirement age benefit. If you have children at home that meet the criteria for eligibility, that’s an obvious reason to consider filing early.

It might seem like it makes sense to wait to file until full retirement age, then, when you’d receive $2,000 (versus filing at 62, when you’d only get $1,500 per month).

If you lived until 90, you’d receive an additional $70,000 in benefits for delaying filing until 66 instead of filing at 62. But this calculation doesn’t take into account the benefits paid to your children. While your children would be eligible for benefits based upon your retirement, the kids cannot get benefits until you file. That means your family would able to collect thousands of dollars more in lifetime benefits if you file early and turn on the benefits for your kids.

For every good reason to claim Social Security at 62, there’s an equally good reason to wait. On average, retirement beneficiaries receive 40% of their pre-retirement income from Social Security.

References:

  1. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/social-security-to-become-unable-to-pay-full-benefits-sooner-than-previously-estimated-11630436444
  2. https://www.ssa.gov/benefits/retirement/learn.html
  3. https://www.aarp.org/retirement/social-security/questions-answers/social-security-start-at-62.html
  4. https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/retirement/social-security-at-62
  5. https://www.fool.com/retirement/2021/04/05/3-great-reasons-to-take-social-security-benefits-a/
  6. https://communications.fidelity.com/pi/calculators/social-security/#sectionAge
  7. https://www.ssa.gov/OACT/quickcalc/early_late.html
  8. https://www.socialsecurityintelligence.com/5-smart-reasons-to-consider-filing-for-social-security-at-62/

Best Ten Investment Rules

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“Bad decisions and poor behavior are the primary reasons why many fail to meet their financial goals.” Bloomberg

The greatest value of money is its ability to allow you to control your time. That is “being able to do what you want, when you want, where you want, with who you want and for as long as you want provides a lasting level of happiness and emotional well-being that no amount of “fancy stuff or things” can ever offer.”

Furthermore, thinking about money – earning it, saving it, spending it, and most of all, how to invest it – has several basic rules that every novice and seasoned investor should know and follow.

And, it’s never too late to start building your fortune in the stock market.

What follows are ten basic investing rules that can guide every investor:

  1. Start early, pay yourself first, invest for the long term, be diversified, watch your costs, and let compounding work its magic. Investing is simple, but following through can be challenging. Humans are plagued by an inability to just “sit there and do nothing.” Failing to do nothing leads to costly errors and loss of capital that erode returns. Understanding what is required is very different than being able to perform,
  2. Behavior and Mindset are Everything: Rationally and positive mental attitude are essential. The inability to manage emotions, thoughts and behavior is the financial undoing of many. “Behave!” Avoid ill-advised decision-making and poor behavior which are the biggest reasons why many investors fail to meet their financial goals.
  3. Spend Less Than You Earn: Budgeting is simple: Income goes on one side of your household balance sheet, expenditures on the other side and make sure the latter is less than the former. Don’t buy a boat, don’t get a new car, and avoid buying lattes if you cannot afford them.
  4. Wealth comes from owning assets and compounding over the long term. You can accumulate wealth via the stock market and owning appreciable assets. Since, it’s not the buying and selling that makes you money. It’s the waiting. When you buy a quality stock, plan on holding it forever. In buying an asset, buy it below its intrinsic value (margin of safety or growth at a reasonable price). Always remember…Price is what you pay; value is what you get.
  5. Cut your losers short and let your winners run: Letting your winners run generates all sorts of desirable outcomes: It allows compounding to occur, gives you the benefit of time and keeps your transaction costs, fees and taxes low. Similarly, cutting your losers short forces you to be humble and intelligent. It rotates you away from the sectors and stocks that are not working. Best of all, you are forced to admit your own fallibility.
  6. Asset allocation is crucial: What is your relative weighting of stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities? Studies show that asset allocation is the most important decision an investor makes. “Stock picking is for fun. Asset allocation is for making money over the long haul.” The weighting you select for various asset classes [stocks, bonds, real estate, cash, commodities, etc] is a function of such factors as your age, income, risk tolerance and retirement needs. It is what serious investors focus on.  For example, cash is an inefficient drag during bull markets and as valuable as oxygen during bear markets, either because you need it to survive a recession or because it’s the raw material of opportunity, says Morgan Housel. Leverage is the most efficient way to maximize your balance sheet, and the easiest way to lose everything. Concentration is the best way to maximize returns, but diversification is the best way to increase the odds of owning a company capable of delivering returns.
  7. Hope for the best, but expect the worst: Risk control is the most important thing in trading. If you have a losing position that is making you uncomfortable, the solution is very simple: Get out, because you can always get back in. Brace for disaster via diversification and learning market history. Expect good investments to do poorly from time to time. Don’t allow temporary under-performance or disaster to cause you to panic. A corollary rule is: Save like a pessimist; Invest like an optimist.
  8. Fear and greed are stronger than long-term resolve: Warren Buffett likes to say:  “Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful.” Investors can often be their own worst enemy, particularly when emotions take hold. Gains “make us exuberant; they enhance well-being and promote optimism. Studies of investor behavior show that losses bring sadness, disgust, fear, regret. Fear increases the sense of risk and some react by shunning stocks. Markets are strongest when they are broad and weakest when they narrow to a handful of blue-chip names.
  9. If the business does well; the stock will follow: A stock is part of a business. If a company is growing its revenues, has a moat around its business, and is well managed, you can expect the stocks price to increase. Only listen to those you know and trust; and only buy stocks of companies you know and understand. Only buy companies you know and understand. Risk comes from not knowing what you’re doing.
  10. Invest In Yourself: This is the most important investment you can make. Educate yourself, develop an expertise and add to your professional knowledge and skills. Ignore the noise (forecast and predictions) of the crowd and financial pundits.

Good investing isn’t necessarily about earning the highest returns, because the highest returns tend to be one-off hits that can’t be repeated, according to Morgan Housel, behavioral finance expert and the author of The Psychology of Money: Timeless Lessons on Wealth, Greed, and Happiness. It’s about earning pretty good returns that you can stick with and which can be repeated for the longest period of time. That’s when the magic of compounding runs wild.

Investors need to understand the challenges that face them when investing their money: “Capital markets are about making the best probabilistic decisions using imperfect information about an unknowable future. You will never have perfect information that allows you to bet on a sure thing.”

References:

  1. https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/19/fathers-day-letter-to-kid-money-life-lessons-people-learn-too-late-in-life.html
  2. https://ritholtz.com/2021/07/top-10-rules-for-money/
  3. https://ritholtz.com/2012/10/ritholtzs-rules-of-investing/
  4. https://ritholtz.com/2015/09/jason-zweigs-rules-for-investing/
  5. https://www.cnbc.com/2020/09/08/billionaire-warren-buffett-most-overlooked-fact-about-how-he-got-so-rich.html

Successful Investing Requires Mastering the Inner Game

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“When you learn how to control your emotions, you can derive more positive, productive meanings, even from seemingly negative events.” Tony Robbins

Inner game helps you improve yourself as you learn from your past life experiences. Learning to work on your inner game helps you develop a better outlook in life and this helps you develop your confidence as well. This new sense of self worth allows you be more successful personally and professionally, and with your over all interaction with other people.

To find your inner game, you have to know who you truly are, what you really want and how you want things to be done. This step is not easy. It takes a lot of self-reflection and looking back to your past mistakes and learning from them. It requires you to open your eyes and see yourself for who you really are now. Then try to look to the future and visualize how you want to see yourself after a couple of years.

It may take a lot of self-reflection, emotional intelligence and psychological understanding of your personal issues and how to deal with them. But the bottom line to becoming confident being the real you, is that you will have to overcome your insecurities, angsts, worries, and fears. If you fail to do so, these negative factors will reveal themselves in your personal and professional life and can cause problems.

When you get the real picture of who you truly are, you also have to learn to appreciate the traits that you have. Don’t focus on the things that you dislike about yourself. Real attractiveness come from within. Before anyone else appreciates your looks, you should be the one to appreciate it first. Know your strongest feature and use it to your advantage. If you believe that you look good then you will feel good about yourself too. Your self confidence will improve and this makes you more.

Inner Personal Scorecard

Warren Buffett frequently relates an interesting way to frame this topic:

Would you rather be the world’s greatest lover, but have everyone think you’re the world’s worst lover? Or would you rather be the world’s worst lover but have everyone think you’re the world’s greatest lover? 

Or. If the world couldn’t see your results, would you rather be thought of as the world’s greatest investor but in reality have the world’s worst record? Or be thought of as the world’s worst investor when you were actually the best?

Buffett’s getting at a rather fundamental model he’s used most of his life: The Inner Scorecard. When you have an internal scorecard, no one can define success for you but you.

What Buffett and a lot of other people who have been successful in life — true success, not measured by money — have in common is that they’re able to remember what we all set out to do: live a fulfilling life! Not get rich. Not get famous. Not even get admiration, necessarily. But to live a satisfying existence and help others around them do the same.

It’s not that getting rich or famous or admired can’t be deeply satisfying. It can be! I’m positive Buffett deeply enjoys his wealth and status. He’s got more “admiration tokens” than almost anyone in the world.

But all of that can be ruined very, very easily along the way by making too many compromises, by living according to an external scorecard rather than an internal one.

Controlling your emotions

According to James J. Gross, a psychologist and professor at Stanford University and best known for his research in emotion and emotion regulation, the inability to control, or regulate, your emotions is at the root of some psychological disorders including depression, social anxiety and borderline personality. And, no matter how psychologically healthy you think you are, you can benefit from learning how to better manage your emotions in investing and everyday life.

References:

  1. https://www.tonyrobbins.com/ask-tony/cycle-of-meaning/
  2. https://www.essentiallifeskills.net/5-effective-ways-to-control-your-emotions.html

Tax Planning

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“It may feel good at tax time to get a refund, but remember that the money you’re getting back is money you loaned the government at no interest.”

Benjamin Franklin famously said, “nothing is certain but death and taxes.” Skip filing your taxes, and the tax agents will come calling. And when they do, you’ll likely face penalties and interest — and even lose your chance to receive a tax refund.

Unless your income is below a certain level, you will have to file federal income tax returns and pay taxes each year. Therefore, it’s important to understand your obligations and the way in which taxes are calculated.

Every year, everyone who makes money in the U.S. must fill out a prior calendar year tax return and file it with the IRS by April 15th. The process inspires dread among anyone who performs this task without the help of an accountant. The forms are complicated, and the definitions of terms like “dependent” and “exemption” can be difficult to understand.

Tax Basics and Taxable Income

There are two types of income subject to taxation: earned income and unearned income. Earned income includes:

  • Salary
  • Wages
  • Tips
  • Commissions
  • Bonuses
  • Unemployment benefits
  • Sick pay
  • Some noncash fringe benefits

Taxable unearned income includes:

  • Interest
  • Dividends
  • Profit from the sale of assets
  • Business and farm income
  • Rents
  • Royalties
  • Gambling winnings
  • Alimony

It is possible to reduce taxable income by contributing to a retirement account like a 401(k) or an IRA.

A person can exclude some income from taxation by using a standard deduction amount determined by the government and a person’s filing status or by itemizing certain types of expenses. Allowable itemized expenses include mortgage interest, state and local taxes, charitable contributions, and medical expenses.

Anyone can make an honest mistake with regard to taxes, but the IRS can be quite strict. And since everyone’s tax situation is a little different, you may have questions.

Allowed Deductions – Deductions and Tax Exemptions

The IRS offers Americans a variety of tax credits and deductions that can legally reduce how much you’ll owe. All Americans should know what deductions and credits they’re eligible for — not knowing is like leaving money on the table.

Most people take the standard deduction available to them when filing taxes to avoid providing proof of all of the purchases they’ve made throughout the year. Besides, itemized deductions often don’t add up to more than the standard deduction.

But if you’ve made substantial payments for mortgage interest, property taxes, medical expenses, local and state taxes or have made major charitable contributions, it could be worth it to take this step. These tax deductions are subtracted from your adjusted gross income, which reduces your taxable income.

The government allows the deduction of some types of expenses from a person’s adjusted gross income, or gross income minus adjustments. A person can exclude some income from taxation by using a standard deduction amount determined by the government and a person’s filing status or by itemizing certain types of expenses. Allowable itemized expenses include mortgage interest, a capped amount of state and local taxes, charitable contributions, and medical expenses.

Depending on who you are and what you do, you may be eligible for any number of tax deductions and exemptions to reduce your taxable income. At the end of the day, these could have a significant impact on your tax exposure. Starting with the standard deduction, the links below will help you determine how to shrink your income — for tax purposes, of course.

Common Tax Credits

Tax credits are also another way to reduce your tax exposure and possibly obtain a tax refund when the dust settles. Many people don’t realize that a tax credit is the equivalent of free money. Tax deductions reduce the amount of taxable income you can claim, and tax credits reduce the tax you owe and, in many cases, result in a nice refund.

The IRS offers a large number of tax credits that encompass everything from buying energy-efficient products for your home to health insurance premium payments to being in a low- to moderate-income household. The key to benefiting from these credits is examining all of the purchases you’ve made throughout the year to see if you are owed money.

There are 17 tax credits for individuals you can take advantage of in five categories:

  • Education credits
  • Family tax credits
  • Healthcare credits
  • Homeownership and real estate credits
  • Income and savings credits

Taxes: What to Pay and When

Most Americans don’t look forward to tax season. But the refund that a majority of taxpayers get can make the tedious process of tax filing worth the effort.

When you’re an employee, it’s your employer’s responsibility to withhold federal, state, and any local income taxes and send that withholding to the IRS, state, and locality. Those payments to the IRS are your prepayments on your expected tax liability when you file your tax return. Your Form W-2 has the withholding information for the year.

The U.S. has a pay-as-you-go taxation system. Just as income tax is withheld from employees every pay period and sent to the IRS, the estimated tax paid quarterly helps the government maintain a reliable schedule of income. It also protects you from having to cough up all the dough at once.

When you file, if you prepaid more than you owe, you get some back. If you prepaid too little, you have to make up the difference and pay more. And, if you’re like most wage earners, you get a nice refund at tax time.

But if you are self-employed, or if you have income other than your salary, you may need to pay estimated taxes each quarter to square your tax bill with Uncle Sam. You may owe estimated taxes if you receive income that isn’t subject to withholding, such as:

  • Interest income
  • Dividends
  • Gains from sales of stock or other assets
  • Earnings from a business
  • Alimony that is taxable

So, it’s important to remember that taxes are a pay-as-you-go. This means that you need to pay most of your tax during the year, as you receive income, rather than paying at the end of the year.

There are two ways to pay tax:

  • Withholding from your pay, your pension or certain government payments, such as Social Security.
  • Making quarterly estimated tax payments during the year.

This will help you avoid a surprise tax bill when you file your return. If you want to avoid a large tax bill, you may need to change your withholding. Changes in your life, such as marriage, divorce, working a second job, running a side business or receiving any other income without withholding can affect the amount of tax you owe.

And if you work as an employee, you don’t have to make estimated tax payments if you have more tax withheld from your paycheck. This may be an option if you also have a side job or a part-time business.

It may feel good at tax time to get a refund, but remember that the money you’re getting back is money you loaned the government at no interest.

References:

  1. https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/taxes/tax-planning
  2. https://www.findlaw.com/tax/federal-taxes/filing-taxes.html
  3. https://www.findlaw.com/tax/federal-taxes/tax-basics-a-beginners-guide-to-taxes.html
  4. https://turbotax.intuit.com/tax-tips/small-business-taxes/estimated-taxes-how-to-determine-what-to-pay-and-when/L3OPIbJNw
  5. https://www.moneycrashers.com/paying-estimated-tax-payments-online-irs
  6. https://www.irs.gov/payments/pay-as-you-go-so-you-wont-owe-a-guide-to-withholding-estimated-taxes-and-ways-to-avoid-the-estimated-tax-penalty