Gratitude and Financial Freedom

Practicing gratitude can have a profound impact on achieving financial freedom. Here are some key ways gratitude can improve your money mindset and financial well-being:

## Shifts Focus to Abundance, Not Scarcity

Feeling grateful for what you already have, instead of fixating on what you lack, fosters a mindset of abundance.[1][2] This positive perspective reduces financial worry and impulse spending, making you more patient and deliberate with financial decisions.[1]

## Increases Satisfaction with Current Situation

Expressing thankfulness for your present circumstances and material possessions leads to greater contentment.[2] This can curb the desire for unnecessary purchases and make you more willing to save and invest for long-term goals like financial independence.[1][2]

## Motivates Values-Based Money Management

Gratitude motivates you to align your finances with your core values and make choices that provide deeper fulfillment.[2] This could mean prioritizing saving for your children’s education, charitable giving, or working towards an early retirement.

## Improves Financial Resilience

Practicing gratitude, especially during tough financial times, can improve your mood, reduce anxiety, and provide motivation to work through challenges with resilience.[3] An attitude of thankfulness helps you stay present, solution-oriented, and decisive when faced with money issues.

In essence, gratitude nurtures a positive relationship with money. It allows you to feel financially secure with what you have while giving you the patience and motivation to manage your finances more effectively towards achieving true financial freedom.[1][2][3]

Citations:
[1] https://www.sagespring.com/4-ways-gratitude-can-improve-your-money-mindset/
[2] https://singerwealthmanagement.com/why-gratitude-is-essential-for-you-and-your-finances/
[3] https://www.northamericancompany.com/plan-for-tomorrow/gratitude-for-financial-wellness
[4] https://blog.gratefulness.me/money-affirmations/
[5] https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/finance/how-gratitude-can-help-your-financial-life

Best Small Cap AI Stocks to Buy and Hold

The best artificial intelligence small-cap stocks for long-term investment

Sources
The 5 best small cap AI companies to buy now – MarketBeat

Here are some of the best small-cap artificial intelligence (AI) stocks to consider for long-term investment:

SoundHound AI (SOUN) is a leading voice AI company providing conversational intelligence solutions. It has strong revenue growth, with Q1 2024 revenue up 73% year-over-year. SoundHound is well-positioned in the rapidly growing voice AI market and has a median analyst price target of $7, representing significant upside potential from its current price around $5.40,

Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX) applies AI to drug discovery and development. With a market cap around $2 billion, it is one of the larger small-cap AI stocks. Recursion’s unique AI platform for mapping cellular biology could provide an edge in developing novel treatments across many disease areas.

Duos Technologies (DUOT) provides AI-based vision technologies for rail inspection, logistics, and other industrial markets. Its rail inspection business is growing rapidly, and Duos has opportunities to expand into trucking and other transportation sectors leveraging its AI capabilities.

BigBear.ai (BBAI) offers AI-powered decision intelligence solutions for supply chains, autonomous systems, and cybersecurity. While facing recent challenges, BigBear.ai projects 25-39% revenue growth in 2024 and has made acquisitions to drive future growth in these key AI verticals.

CXApp (CXAI) provides an AI-powered workplace app for communications, meetings, and security. It has shown strong revenue growth, turning free cash flow positive in 2023, and analysts view it as an attractive small-cap AI play with room for further expansion.

The key points are that small-cap AI stocks offer higher potential returns but also higher risk and volatility compared to large established companies. A diversified portfolio and long investing horizon are advisable to manage the risks of this emerging, high-growth sector.

 

Investing in Great Companies

All investing is the discounted value of all future cash flow. 

Investing in great companies at reasonable prices is a smart strategy.

Below are nine promising stocks that you might consider for your investment portfolio. Keep in mind that investing always carries risks, so it’s essential to do thorough research and consider your own financial goals and risk tolerance.

Here are some stocks that have caught the attention of experts at Forbes:

  1. Alphabet, Inc. (GOOG, GOOGL): Alphabet, the parent company of Google, has a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.1. It’s a leader in technology and advertising, making it an attractive choice for long-term investors.
  2. Citigroup, Inc. ©: With a low forward P/E ratio of 8.4, Citigroup is a major global bank. It offers financial services and has the potential for growth.
  3. Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. (FIS): FIS provides financial technology solutions. Its forward P/E ratio is 15.3, and it’s well-positioned in the industry.
  4. Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG): A pioneer in robotic-assisted surgery, Intuitive Surgical has a forward P/E ratio of 60.9. It’s a high-growth company with significant potential.
  5. The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC): With a forward P/E ratio of 12.2, Kraft Heinz is a food and beverage giant. It’s known for its iconic brands and steady performance.
  6. The Progressive Corporation (PGR): Progressive is an insurance company with a forward P/E ratio of 23.3. It has been consistently growing and is well-regarded in the industry.
  7. Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT): Spotify, the popular music streaming service, has a forward P/E ratio of 98.0. It’s a high-risk, high-reward stock due to its competitive market.
  8. Tapestry, Inc. (TPR): Tapestry, which owns luxury brands like Coach and Kate Spade, has a forward P/E ratio of 8.7. It’s an interesting play in the retail sector.
  9. TopBuild Corp. (BLD): TopBuild, a construction services company, has a forward P/E ratio of 20.8. It benefits from the housing market and construction industry growth.

Remember that these are just suggestions, and it’s crucial to conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Additionally, consider diversifying your portfolio to spread risk across different sectors and asset classes. Happy investing! 📈👍


References:

  1. https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/best-stocks-to-buy-now/

The Magic Number Rises

More Americans say they don’t feel financially secure…rising inflation and incomes that aren’t keeping pace get most of the blame. ~ Northwestern Mutual

The “magic number” for retirement has surged in recent years thanks to high inflation. According to Northwestern Mutual’s 2024 Planning & Progress Study, Americans now believe they need $1.46 million in savings and investments to retire comfortably.

Yet, this number reveals more about Americans’ anxiety than precise planning. We often overestimate our financial needs

This ‘magic number’ figure has leaped 15% in a year and an astonishing 53% since 2020. Meanwhile, retirement savings have dwindled to a mere $88,000.

The “Silver Tsunami” of retirement approaches, with millions of Baby Boomers riding the waves into retirement.

Track and prioritize your spending is vitally critical. This involves prioritizing the spending that’s most important to you and letting things that are less important fall off. You’re saying no to some things so that you can say yes to others. You might even want to employ loud budgeting.

Loud budgeting gives you permission to say no to social engagements by saying you don’t have the money for it. To put loud budgeting to work, you commit yourself and share that you’re doing it. Loud budgeting lets you spend money on true priorities while skipping things that won’t really provide or align with your values and priorities.

Loud budgeting can be a simple way to push back when you’ve spent too much. But it works best when it starts with a solid budget and a financial plan that helps you balance future goals with what you need for today. The idea isn’t to say no to everything, but loud budgeting should help you say no when needed.

Ultimately, your financial goal is to have more income coming in each month than expenses going out.

But make sure that you’re thoughtful about your spending so that you feel good about what you’re getting when those dollars leave.

Source:

  1.  https://news.northwesternmutual.com/planning-and-progress-study-2024
  2. https://www.northwesternmutual.com/life-and-money/what-is-loud-budgeting/

Retirement Planning

Planning for retirement is a way to help you maintain the same quality of life in the future.

You should start retirement planning as early as financially and emotionally possible, like in your early twenties or thirties. The earlier you start, the more time your money has to grow.

That said, it’s never too late to start retirement planning, so don’t feel like you’ve missed the proverbial boat if you haven’t started.

Keep in mind, every dollar you can save now will be much appreciated later. Strategically investing could mean you won’t be playing catch-up for long.

Additionally, retirement planning isn’t merely about counting the days until you hang up your work boots and calculating your magical financial number.

It’s about ensuring that your golden years exudes comfort, financial security, personal relationships, meaning and purpose. Here are five financial steps to guide you as you prepare for career and life transition:

  1. Know When to Start: Determine when you want to retire. Will it be an early retirement at 62 or a grand finale at full Social Security benefits age (around 67)? Remember, the earlier you claim Social Security, the less you will receive monthly, but delaying it can enhance your benefits.
  2. Calculate Your Magic Number: Calculate how much wealth or nest egg you need to sustain your desired lifestyle. Consider living expenses, healthcare costs, and the joys you wish to indulge in during retirement.
  3. Prioritize your financial goals: Pay off debts, build your savings, downside if necessary, and calculate your monthly expenses.
  4. Choose Your Accounts: Explore retirement accounts. Will it be a 401(k), an IRA, or both? Each has tax advantages, contribution limits, and investment options. Mix and match wisely.
  5. Invest Wisely: Your investments must propel you toward your financial destination. In your youth, invest aggressively. As you approach the retirement, dial back to a more conservative mix.

Whether you’re a few decades or a few years away from retirement, having a plan can help you feel confident that you’ll be prepared when the time finally arrives.

Source: https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/investing/retirement-planning-an-introduction

Warren Buffett’s Investment Strategy

An initial investment of  $10,000 in Berkshire Hathaway when Warren Buffett took over in 1964 would now be worth more than $438 million!

Despite his reputation for picking winning stocks, Berkshire chairman and CEO Warren Buffett wrote to investors in his 2022 Berkshire Hathaway letter: “Charlie [Munger] and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.”

Over the decades, Buffett has refined a holistic approach to assessing a business—looking not just at earnings but also at its overall health, deficiencies, and strengths. He focuses more on a company’s characteristics and less on its stock price, waiting to buy only when the cost seems reasonable.

In short, Warren Buffett’s investing strategy is not complicated:

  • Buy businesses, not stocks. In other words, think like a business owner, not someone who owns a piece of paper (or, these days, a digital trade confirmation).
  • Look for companies with competitive advantages that can be maintained or economic moats. Firms fending off competitors have a better chance of increasing intrinsic value over time.
  • Focus on long-term intrinsic value, not short-term earnings. What matters is how much cash a company can generate for its owners in the future. Therefore, value companies use a discounted cash flow analysis.
  • Demand a margin of safety. Future cash flows are, by their nature, uncertain. Always buy companies for less than their intrinsic values to compensate for that uncertainty.
  • Be patient. Investing isn’t about instant gratification; it’s about long-term success.

Other investing virtues prized by Buffett include candid communication with shareholders, patience in letting an investment bear fruit and emphasizing practical vehicles over investing fads.

Patience Pays:  An initial Investment of  $10,000 in Berkshire Hathaway when Warren Buffett took over in 1964 would have purchased approximately 808 company shares at a stock price of just $12.37 per share.

As of the end of 2023, Berkshire Hathaway’s Class A shares (which have existed since 1964) traded for just over $542,625 per share. The stock has produced an overall gain of 4,386,621% from 1964 to 2023. Your initial $10,000 investment would now be worth more than $438 million!

While Berkshire Hathaway’s past 60 years have been an impressive growth story, Buffett cautions that the company’s size has become too large to sustain the same 20% growth rates over the long term. He believes future gains will not be as dramatic as those of the past 60 years.

Nevertheless, Buffett’s core investment strategy prioritizes thinking like a business owner and viewing investments as actual companies, not just as stocks.

He has long advocated for “boring” investing and the notion that real moneymaking happens when you sit back and trust in a long-term plan instead of strapping in for a wild ride seeking short-term profit. He continues to focus on lifelong learning, whether that means unpacking what a new product is all about or reading up on interdisciplinary subjects.

And he intends to give away 99% of his wealth to philanthropy.

Source: Susan Dziubinski, How to Invest Like Warren Buffett, Morningstar, March 13, 2024.

Investing and Building Wealth

“Leaving the question of price aside, the best business to own is one that over an extended period can employ large amounts of incremental capital at very high rates of return.” – Warren Buffett, 1992 Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letter.

Investing is putting money into different securities or investment vehicles, hoping these securities will increase in price and payout profits.

In particular, investing in the stock market involves buying shares of companies that then rise in price. Some companies also pay dividends on their shares at regular intervals.

The end goal of investing is to spread your wealth in different vehicles that grow your money over time.

“Don’t be afraid to overpay for a stock with a history of rewarding shareholders. Winning stocks tend to keep winning if you have a long-term outlook.”  Charlie Munger convinced Warren Buffett that sometimes it’s worth paying a premium for a great business.

A company’s intrinsic value is the present value of all of its future free cash flows (meaning from now until the end of time- all the free cash flows that it will ever generate).

Free cash flow (FCF) is the amount of cash the firm generates from its operations minus the amount of money it reinvested into its operations. Cash flows are “free” because they can be used to pay off debt, buy back shares, pay dividends, or leave in the firm’s bank account.

If you own a private company, this is what you would think of as “real earnings” that you can pay yourself with, given that you don’t have to reinvest those funds into the operation.

”Good things happen to cheap stocks of out-of-favor, industry-leading companies.” ~ Nancy Tengler

The most crucial quantitative evidence of an economic moat is a high return on invested capital (ROIC).

Return on invested capital, or ROIC, is a financial metric that helps understand how efficiently a company generates profits. The less capital it requires to produce earnings, the better.

For example, what does an ROIC of nearly 920% mean? It basically says that a company like Apple can generate massive profits with little investment.

The formula for ROIC is highlighted below. To reinforce, the larger the numerator (NOPAT is the after-tax operating profit) relative to the denominator (which can be defined as fixed assets plus net working capital), the more efficient the company is.

ROIC = NOPAT/Average Invested Capital

ROIC = NOPAT/Average Invested Capital

Investors— both shareholders and creditors— require a certain level of return in exchange for providing a company with the funds it needs to run its business. This is called the weighted average of capital (WACC). A company generates excess returns if its ROIC consistently exceeds its WACC.

For example, imagine little Joey wants to open a lemonade stand. He needs $100 upfront to buy a table, a pitcher, lemons, sugar, ice, and cups. This is invested capital. Joey borrows $50 from Mom and promises to pay her 5% interest ($2.50). Dad has a higher risk tolerance, so he buys $50 of common stock in Joey’s lemonade stand. Dad equity return (this is called the cost of equity).

Buffett created a concept called owner earnings. It is a measure of the firm’s potential free cash flows if it weren’t reinvesting them:

Owner Earnings = Earnings + Depreciation & Amortization + Other Non-Cash Charges – Maintenance Capital Expenditures

Attaining prosperity and financial freedom and building wealth through investing in the stock market for the long term is fundamental.


References:

  1. https://www.forbes.com/sites/qai/2022/01/19/financial-freedom-in-2022-investing-in-stock-market-ideas
  2. http://www.comusinvestment.com/blog/growth-returns-on-capital-and-business-valuation
  3. https://einvestingforbeginners.com/buffetts-return-on-invested-capital-formula-daah/

Wealth and Gratitude

“He is a wise man who does not grieve for the things which he has not, but rejoices for those which he has.” ~ Epictetus

When we think of wealth and financial independence, the word and thoughts that usually come to mind is more…more money and financial assets, more big boy toys and larger estate homes. But according to most Stoics or philosophers, their insight is that once your essential needs are satisfied, the easiest way to create wealth and achieve financial independence is to want less.

“Wealth consists not in having great possessions, but in having few wants. He is a wise man who does not grieve for the things he has not, but rejoices for those which he has.” ~ Epictetus

Source: X (formerly Twitter)

Baby Boomers’ Wealth Transfer

“Experts say baby boomers will transfer over $50 trillion in wealth to their heirs. But for many, health care costs will claim the bulk of that wealth.” ~ NBC News

Baby boomers have experienced decades of wealth-building through real estate and the stock market, but skyrocketing healthcare costs will drain those resources faster for those who aren’t extraordinarily wealthy, according to NBC News.

Healthcare costs for elderly Americans and baby boomers are incredibly expensive and frequently wipe out people’s life savings. Thus, many people hoping that the “wealth transfer” will leave them with a substantial inheritance will end up disappointed because health care for older people in America is very expensive and destroying the transfer of wealth from baby boomers to subsequent generations.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, people under the age of 65 reported spending an average of $5,209 per year on their health care in 2022, while those over 65 reported $7,540 annually.

By 2050, there are expected to be 84 million people over 65, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That’s almost 50% more seniors than there are today.

Thus, the widely held belief that baby boomers are going to transfer tens of trillions of dollars to their heirs over the next few decades may not be entirely true.

The “generational wealth transfer” from Baby Boomers to Generation X and Millennials may not be as large as previously forecasted due to the rising costs of healthcare. The overwhelming cost of health care for older people means most people in those later generations won’t inherit much, even if their elders seem well-off today.

Cerulli estimated that 68% of the wealth transferred between 2020 and 2045 — which includes boomers as well as older generations — will come from U.S. households with at least $1 million in investable assets. And only 6.9% of households have that kind of wealth to begin with, Cerulli added.


References:

  1. https://www.nbcnews.com/business/consumer/generational-wealth-transfer-baby-boomers-cant-save-gen-x-millennials-rcna128099

Coffee Can Investing Strategy (Finding 100 Bagger)

“I try to invest in businesses that are so wonderful that an idiot can run them. Because sooner or later, one will.”  ― Warren Buffett

Coffee Can Investment Strategy involves buying and holding a portfolio of high-quality companies for the long-term, typically ten years or more. The strategy is based on the premise that investing in the right high-quality companies will result in significant capital appreciation over time.

The concept was popularized in India by Saurabh Mukherjea in his book “ Coffee Can Investing:  The Low-Risk Route to Stupendous Wealth”.

In this strategy, investors pick a group of high-quality companies with a proven track record of generating consistent profits, revenue growth and return on invested capital (ROIC). The chosen equity stocks are held for an extended period irrespective of market conditions or short term volatility.

This strategy allows investors to avoid the temptation of selling their equity holdings during short-term market volatility. It protect the investor from their own bad decision and investing behavior.

You only need one of the Coffee Can companies to hit and become a 100 bagger.

But, how to look at a small cap company and know that they have a runway.

Look at the ownership and use your imagination to determine if a company can have organic growth and expand into other markets.

At the end of 10 years, you will have some stocks that have not grown, others that have lost value, and two to four outperformers. Those outperformers will provide a high return on investment.

It refers to companies that have generated a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of over 15% every year with the Coffee Can Investing approach. This makes the approach a low-risk route to making stupendous wealth.

Coffee Can Portfolio is mostly concerned with stock quality. As an investor, you must choose a quality stock, which signifies a fundamentally strong company. Here are some points to build a Coffee Can Portfolio.

  1. The company should have been in existence for at least 10 years.
  2. The revenue growth should be at least 10% year per year.
  3. ROIC of at least 15% for 10 years
  4. Market capitalization should be more than $500 million USD
  5. The company should have good brand value.
  6. The company should have a competitive edge.
  7. Founder or CEO has skin in the game focused on driving value in the business. Executive management is strong. 

For instance, let’s take an example of a toothpaste company. If a toothpaste company’s prices are increased, will people stop brushing? The answer is “NO.” Similarly, this strategy neither works on quantity nor growth; it works on quality investing.


References:

  1. https://groww.in/blog/the-coffee-can-portfolio