Tag Archives: Investing

Uncertain Financial Markets

Posted on by

“Don’t gamble. Take all your savings and buy some good stock and hold it till it goes up; then sell it. If it don’t go up, don’t buy it.” Will Rogers

Since the financial crisis of 2008-2009, the U.S. stock market has been on a long-term uptrend. In the crisis’ aftermath, a nearly 11-year bull rally emerged from its ruins becoming the longest-ever uptrend in Wall Street history.

And, the American economy is equally robust as consumer spending remains strong and as the unemployment rate (3.5%) remains at the lowest in 50 years. Despite low employment, Federal Fund interest rates still sit near historical lows and the 10-year Treasury yields only 1.8%.

Financial Crisis

Bringing back painful financial memories for investors, the financial crisis of 2008-2009 wreaked havoc on the stock market. During the crisis, the S&P 500 index (SPX) lost 38.5% of its value in 2008, making it the worst year since the nadir of the Great Recession in 1931.

Today, many economists and financial industry pundits conclude that global economies will face an increasingly uncertain and potentially volatile future. Those future concerns range a gambit of political, geopolitical, economic and socio-political issues.

The uncertainties and concerns include the upcoming U.S. presidential elections, potential turmoil in the Middle East, growing fear regarding cross border spread of the Novel Corona virus, and the growth concerns regarding the economies of the rest of the world economies.

Investing in an Uncertain Environment

“Never under estimate the man who over estimates himself…he may not be wrong all the time.” Charlie Munger

When it comes to investing in an uncertain environment, it is difficult to know what actions to take. But, nobody knows with certainty what is going to happen next in the markets or can predict the direction with certainty of the global economy. Despite the many self proclaimed stock picking experts who promote their ability to forecast the markets and abilities to select the next Amazon-like stock, it important to always remember that no one knows what will happen in or can accurately forecast the future.

Recently, Charlie Munger, Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, shared his thoughts about investing in general and regarding Elon Musk and Tesla, specifically. He commented that Elon is “peculiar and he may overestimate himself, but he may not be wrong all the time…”.

Additionally, Munger commented that he “…would never buy it [Tesla stock], and [he] would never sell it short.” Prudent investors would be wise to heed Munger’s advice and be concerned not only about potential rewards but, more importantly, also concerned about potential risks investing in hot, high flying stocks.

In Munger’s view, there exist too much “wretched excess” in the market and investors are taking on too much unnecessary risk. He worries that that there are dark clouds looming on the horizon. And, he believes markets and investors are ill-prepared to weather the coming market “trouble”.

References:

  1. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wretched-excess-means-theres-lots-of-troubles-coming-warns-berkshire-hathaways-charlie-munger-2020-02-12

Dividends Income Strategy

Posted on by

“Do you know the only thing that gives me pleasure? It’s to see my dividends coming in.” John Rockefeller, founder of the Standard Oil Company

For retirees, dividends are a source for cash flow and a great form of income security in their post work years. For smart investors, dividend investments represent one of the closest things they can find to guaranteed income and possible capital appreciation.

John D. Rockefeller, founder of the Standard Oil Company and the world’s first billionaire, was a vocal advocate of dividends. He once commented that, “Do you know the only thing that gives me pleasure? It’s to see my dividends coming in.”

Dividend investing provides a steady income stream from the distributions of a company’s earnings to its shareholders. It works well for investors looking for long-term growth and for individuals preparing for or living in retirements who have a lower risk tolerance.

Dividend stocks are companies that pay shareholders a portion of earnings, or dividend, on a regular basis. These payments are funded by profits that a company generates but doesn’t need to retain to reinvest in the business. Dividend stocks are a major factor in the total return of the stock market. About 3,000 U.S. stocks pay a dividend at any given time.

Divdend income investor.

Dividend paying stocks are major sources of consistent income for investors. They can create income and wealth when returns from the equity market are highly volatile or at risk. Essentially, dividend–paying stocks have become an attractive alternative to bonds for investors looking for a reliable stream of investment income.

Companies that pay dividends generally act as a hedge against economic uncertainty and provide downside protection by providing payouts or sizable yields on a regular basis. If you’re looking to build wealth or generate income, dividend stocks are pretty hard to beat.

Dividend-focused stocks do not offer much price appreciation in strong bull markets. However, they do offer a steady stream of income along with the potential of capital gains. These are the major sources of consistent income for investors to create wealth when returns from the equity market are at risk.

Companies that pay out dividends generally act as a hedge against economic uncertainty or downturns. They tend to provide downside protection by offering payouts or sizable yields on a regular basis.

Dividend stocks offer solid returns in an era of ultralow bond yields and also hold the promise of price appreciation. The S&P 500 index’s yield was recently around 1.9%, about even with that of the 10-year U.S. Treasury note.

Dividends also offer a number of advantages beyond income, one being that qualified dividend income is taxed as a capital gain and at a lower rate than ordinary income receives. The top federal capital-gains tax rate is 23.8%. Payouts can also help buffer volatility in tumultuous markets, providing returns even during a market decline.

Dividend stocks can reduce the amount of volatility or beta in a portfolio. Essentially, dividend investing is boring, and lacks the thrill of a small cap tech stock with exponential revenue growth and avoids the volatility of small caps.

Dividend Payout Date

Getting a regular income from the companies investors own are a testament to their discipline, the health of their business, and their confidence in its future. Companies will announce when their dividend will be paid, the amount of the dividend, and the ex-dividend date. Investors must own the stock by the ex-dividend date to receive the dividend.

The ex-dividend date is extremely important to investors: Investors must own the stock by that date to receive the dividend. Investors who purchase the stock after the ex-dividend date will not be eligible to receive the dividend. Investors who sell the stock after the ex-dividend date are still entitled to receive the dividend, because they owned the shares as of the ex-dividend date.

Dividend Payout Ratio

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings, but not all dividends are created equally. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable. Comparing dividend payments to a company’s net profit after tax is a simple way of reality-checking whether a dividend is sustainable.

Unless there are extenuating circumstances, from the perspective of an investor who hopes to own the company for many years, a dividend payout ratio of above 100% is definitely a concern.

Another important check is to see if the free cash flow generated is sufficient to pay the dividend, which suggests dividends will be well covered by cash generated by the business and affordable from a cash perspective.

Still, if the company repeatedly paid a dividend greater than its profits and cash flow, investors should be concerned. Extraordinarily few companies are capable of persistently paying a dividend that is greater than their profits.

High Dividend Yield

A high dividend yield strategy does have several drawbacks. Those disadvantages include vulnerability to rising interest rates and the potential exposure to financially challenged companies that may have trouble maintaining and growing dividends. Since the stock prices of firms with stable cash flows tend to be more sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates than those with more-volatile cash flow streams.

With lower interest rates and the stock market trading at near all-time highs, the high dividend paying stocks and ETFs could be excellent picks at present. Dividend ETFs provide investors with a diversified portfolio of dividend-paying stocks that allows you to invest and collect income without having to do nearly the amount of research you’d need before buying a large number of the individual components.

Another source of income are preferred stocks. Preferred stocks are known for offering higher dividends than their common stock counterparts. In fact, they can be viewed as a safe haven in case of a market pullback as the S&P 500 is up nearly 24% so far this year.

Stocks with a history of above-average dividend yields typically can be a sign of companies with deteriorating business fundamentals. While that can be the case in certain situations, there are many companies with strong underlying fundamentals that are some of America’s largest and most stable companies.

Bottom line, don’t fall for a high dividend yield in a vacuum. It may not paint an accurate picture of the stock’s potential. Instead, look at the company’s fundamentals and determine how dividend payouts change over time. That may indicate a company’s financially stability. Also, it may illustrate long-term dividend potential.

Dividend-Growth Strategies

An investor should not buy dividend stocks just for the sake of dividends to generate income…they should also be seeking capital appreciation to keep up with inflation and mitigate the risk of the long term loss of buying power of the dollar, as well. The most successful dividend investors seek dividend paying stocks that have the potential to grow their dividend each year.

Dividend payers with a history of dividend growth over a prolonged stretch (10 years’ worth of dividend hikes) tend to be highly profitable, financially healthy businesses. While dividend growers prioritize delivering cash to their shareholders, they’re balancing that against investing in their own businesses. Such firms have often held up better than the broad market, as well as the universe of high-yielding stocks, in periods of economic and market weakness.

During the market downturn from early October 2007 through early March 2009, dividend appreciation stocks, such as Dividend Aristocrats, held up better as a category versus the broad market and versus high dividend yield benchmark.

Dividend-growth strategies also look appealing from the standpoint of inflation protection, in that income-focused investors receive a little “raise” when a company increases its dividend. Dividend-growth stocks will tend to hold up better in a period of rising bond yields than high-yielding stocks. That’s because dividend-growth stocks’ yields are more modest to begin with, so they’re less vulnerable to being swapped out when higher-yielding bonds come online.

The dependability of dividends is a big reason to consider dividends when buying stocks. Not every stock pay a dividend, but a steady, dependable dividend stream can provide a nice boost to a portfolio’s return.

Sources:

  1. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/dividends-capital-gains-differ-195903726.html
  2. https://www.fidelity.com/learning-center/investment-products/stocks/all-about-dividends/why-dividends-matter

Passive Investing

Posted on by

The ‘father of passive investing’, Burton Malkiel, Princeton University professor emeritus of economics and author of the famous investing book, “A Random Walk Down Wall Street“, believes that most investors should invest passively. This idea is embodied by exchange-traded funds that track major stock market indexes, such as the S&P 500, and passive mutual funds.

Malkiel’s theory is that investors are better off buying a broad universe of stocks, index funds, and minimizing fees rather than paying an active manager who may not beat the market. Index funds, also known as passive funds, are structured to invest in the same securities that make up a given index, and seek to match the performance of the index they track, whether positive or negative. As the name implies, no manager or management team actively picks stocks or makes buy and sell decisions.

In contrast, active funds attempt to beat whichever index serves as the fund’s benchmark, although — and this is important — there is no guarantee they will do so. Active managers conduct research, closely monitor market trends and employ a variety of trading strategies to achieve return. But this active involvement comes at a price. Actively-managed funds typically have significantly higher fees and expenses.

A 2016 study by S&P Dow Jones Indices showed that about 90 percent of active stock managers failed to beat their index benchmark targets over the previous one-year, five-year and 10-year periods; fees explain a significant part of that under performance.

Vanguard’s John ‘Jack’ Bogle – Stay the Course

Many industry leaders, including Vanguard’s John ‘Jack’ Bogle, who pioneered index funds, were influenced by Malkiel’s theory on passive investing.

John ‘Jack’ Bogle

Jack Bogle, who founded the pioneering investment firm Vanguard in 1975, is widely regarded as the father of index investing. Index investing is a strategy that functions best when investors sit on their hands for decades. This strategy is far removed from the thrill and excitement of trying to beat the market by picking individual stocks — but one that research says works.

Over the decades, Jack Bogle’s philosophy has acquired a plethora of devout investors whom follow his teachings. His followers, known as the Bogleheads, embrace long-term commitments to broad, boring investments. Bogleheads choose investments that are low-cost index mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

These low-cost index mutual funds and ETFs are designed to mimic their respective benchmark stock or bond markets, not beat them. Bogleheads’ core belief— stay the course — is so essential to their investment strategy. Bogleheads’ key tips for beginners are:

Early investing is better than perfect investing

Don’t get overwhelmed with your options and let decision paralysis keep you from investing sooner. The magic of compound interest is where your money grows that much faster because you keep earning interest on your interest. To illustrate the strategy, a person who starts investing small amounts in their early 20s will be better off than someone who starts later and invests larger amounts later to catch up.

Stay in the market; Don’t try to time the market

For Bogleheads, the best way to invest is through passively-managed index funds like those pioneered by Vanguard. That way, while your investment will rise and fall with the market, you’re not a victim to any particular company’s misfortune.

Investing in passively-managed funds is a core Boglehead tenet — and research shows the strategy is a sound one. The majority of actively-managed funds have underperformed the stock market for nearly a decade, according to an annual S&P Dow Jones Indices report. In other words, trying to pick winners doesn’t work; simply riding out the market’s ups and downs does.

Don’t peek; Set it and forget it

It is advised that investors check their investments a few times a year—but they shouldn’t react to market volatility or short-term corrections. The key to passive investing is to “set it and forget it”— that is, once you know what you’re investing in, leave it alone, let the market do its thing and be patient.

Over the past decade, passive investment has been closing the gap on active management. Yet, the ‘father of passive investing’ believes there are still too many investors who are not taking advantage of passive investing. Malkiel believes strongly that “…[passive investing] works. It’s the best thing for individual investors to do for the core of their portfolio.”

Keep it simple

In a nutshell, the best approach is a simple, low cost, diversified portfolio of index funds that matches the market return. Don’t try to beat the market—ignore hot tips and check your returns infrequently.

References:

    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/02/burton-malkiel-says-his-passive-investing-idea-was-called-garbage.html
    https://money.com/theres-a-super-secret-conference-dedicated-to-investing-legend-jack-bogle-heres-what-its-like-on-the-inside/
    https://us.spindices.com/documents/spiva/spiva-us-year-end-2016.pdf

U.S. Markets Overreacting

Posted on by

Updated:  Monday, 2/3/2020 at 8:25 am

We never want to downplay the threat posed by the Novel Coronavirus in China and globally. The highly contagious coronavirus is a pneumonia-causing illness that infects an individual’s respiratory tract. It is now responsible for a reported 360 deaths in China as of Monday morning and 17,000 infections, according to Chinese officials and official figures from the World Health Organization. Furthermore, it can be confidently assumed that the Chinese Communist government has drastically under reported the magnitude of the spread and the total number of its citizens effected by the virus.

Consequently, the U.S.represents a relative virgin population for the Novel Coronavirus. Americans have little to no immunity to this strain of virus from previous spreads or vaccination.  Thus it does pose a potential temporary risk and impact to the U.S. economy.

Subsequently, the World Health Organization has declared the fast-spreading coronavirus a global health emergency — a rare designation that should help to contain the spread and outbreak.

On Friday, the Federal government decided to quarantine Americans arriving on U.S. soil from Wuhan and the Guangdong province in southern China. Additionally, the U.S. initiated measures to screen passengers arriving from all other regions of China. Those found without symptoms are released and asked to self isolate themselves for the fourteen days, the prescribed incubation period for the Coronavirus.

U.S. Influenza Season

However, most Americans are not aware that the CDC estimates that there has been 25 million cases of seasonal influenza in the U.S., 250K hospitalizations and 20,000 deaths reported. This is not abnormal for influenza season in the U.S. Moreover, influenza has been assessed as widespread in Puerto Rico and in 49 states.

Image if the media chose to report these statistics like the quantity of seasonal influenza cases, hospitalizations and deaths in the U.S. every hour and had quasi-infectious disease experts on-air to pontificate about the potential severity and potential deaths. Additionally, image if they had their reporters stoke fear by wearing a nurse’s mask to cover their respiratory system and displaying concern in their voices while reporting live from a mall in Chicago.

More than likely, the market would have been impacted by the over reporting of news.

Conclusion

Bottom line, the market has been  freaking out over the coronavirus outbreak, which doesn’t pose a threat to any long-term investor, as long as they remain calm and disciplined.  The media’s coverage and reporting of the coronavirus might be best described as over-dramatic. The effect has been the market sell off and market volatility. Additionally, the media appears to be now over hyping the preventive measure U.S. officials have taken to prevent the spread of the highly contagious virus on U.S. soil.

Friday’s U.S. stock market two percent sell off was definitely an overreaction to the over-reporting and over-hyping by the U.S. entertainment media.

References:

  1. https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm#ILIActivityMap

10 Rules for Financial Success – Barron’s

Posted on by

“Wealth isn’t about how much money you make – wealth is about how much money you save and invest.”

The true measure of financial success isn’t how much money you make—it’s how much you keep. That’s a function of how well you’re able to save money, protect it, and invest it over the long term.

Sadly, most Americans are lousy at this.

Even after a decade of steady economic expansion and record-breaking stock markets, almost two-thirds of earners would be hard-pressed to cover an unexpected $1,000 expense—a medical bill, car repair, or busted furnace—and more than 75% don’t save enough or invest skillfully enough to meet modest long-term retirement goals, according to Bankrate.com.

Even wealthy families aren’t getting it right: 70% lose wealth by their second generation, and 90% by their third. “Shirtsleeves to shirtsleeves in three generations,” as a saying often attributed to Andrew Carnegie goes.

What’s at the root of these bleak data? Stagnant salaries amid rising costs of health care, education, housing, and other big-ticket necessities have put a major strain on folks of all ages. But advisors point to a deeper issue: an almost universal lack of financial literacy.

“This is a much bigger problem than most people are aware of,” says Spuds Powell, managing director at Kayne Anderson Rudnick Wealth Management in Los Angeles. “I’m constantly amazed at how common it is for clients, even sophisticated ones, to be lacking in financial literacy.”

The ten rules for financial success are:

  1. Set goals
  2. Know what you’ve got and know what you need
  3. Save systematically
  4. Invest in your retirement plan
  5. Invest for growth
  6. Avoid bad debt
  7. Don’t overpay for anything
  8. Protect yourself
  9. Keep it simple
  10. Seek unbiased advice

— Read on www.barrons.com/articles/10-rules-for-financial-success-51558742435

Personal Finance: 4 Ways to Save Money and Improve Your Money Management Skills | Brian Tracy

Posted on by

“Believe you’re the person you must become…”

Virtually every single person in America who is financially independent started off with nothing. But they acquired good personal finance habits, learned how to save money, and improve their money management skills, eventually becoming some of the most successful people in their communities. And anything that anyone else has done, you can probably do as well.

Save Money By Using A Long Time Perspective

To save money and become financially independent you must begin living on less than you earn even if you are deeply in debt. One of the most important guarantors of your personal finance success is called “Long time perspective.”

Take the long view.

Develop a long term attitude toward yourself and your financial future and begin thinking in terms of where you want to be in five and ten years. This long-time perspective will have an inordinate impact on your personal finance habits and money management skills in the present, and will help you save money over the years.

The starting point of financial independence is described in George Klasson’s book, The Richest Man in Babylon, as “Pay yourself first.” He says that, “A part of all you earn is yours to keep.” If you just save 10% of your gross earnings every single paycheck over the course of your working lifetime, you will become financially independent and gain personal finance success. In fact, if you saved $100 per month from the time you started work at age 20 until the time you retired at age 65, and this $100 per month earned 10% per annum return, compounded, you would be worth more than $1,100,000 when you retired, in addition to social security pensions and everything else. Major take-away from The Richest Man in Babylon are – pay yourself first, live within your means, invest your money wisely, and prepare for the future.

— Read on www.briantracy.com/blog/financial-success/personal-finance-money-management-tips-save-money/

Saving vs Investing

Posted on by

“…(wealthly) people see every dollar as a ‘seed’ that can be planted to earn a hundred more dollars … then replanted to earn a thousand more dollars.”

T. Harv Eker, Secrets of the Millionaire Mind

Only about 55 percent of Americans invest in the stock market, according to a 2015 Gallup poll. For Americans to create and grow wealth, they must save and take steps to learn about and start investing.

Saving and investing often are used interchangeably, but there is a significant difference.

  • Saving is setting aside money you don’t spend now for emergencies or for a future purchase. It’s money you want to be able to access quickly, with little or no risk, and with the least amount of taxes.
  • Investing is buying assets such as stocks, bonds, mutual funds or real estate with the expectation that your investment will make money for you. Investments usually are selected to achieve long-term goals with increased risk and volatility. Generally speaking, investments can be categorized as income investments or growth investments through capital appreciation. 

Start Investing Early

One of the best ways to build wealth is by saving and investing over a long period of time. The earlier you start, the easier it is for your money to grow. If you have a workplace retirement plan, consider enrolling and maximizing your contribution—there are tax advantages and you may even be eligible for a match from your employer. Set up regular, automatic contributions. Investing early is especially important for retirement.

Make savings a priority

Keep your focus on your dreams and goals. Do the best you can to save and invest at least 15%-20%. It may not be always possible to hit that target every year due more pressing financial demands, but try. Your future depends on your efforts—make your retirement a priority.

Consider this …

If you deposited $2,000 in a savings account at 3 percent annual interest, it would grow to $3,612 in 20 years (before taxes). The same $2,000 invested in a stock mutual fund earning an average 10 percent a year would grow to $13,455 in 20 years (before taxes).

Reference:

  1. http://www.gallup.com/poll/182816/little-change-percentage-americans-invested-market.aspx

Corporations: Value Based and Purpose Driven

Posted on by

“Doing good is good for business”

According to one corporate Chief Marketing Officer who spoke at CES 2020, sixty-three percent (63%) of global consumers purchase items from companies with purpose. Said another way, a majority of global consumers, either consciously or unconsciously, purchased goods and services from companies whose overriding purpose and values were to make the world better. Purpose must be more altruistic than just increasing shareholders returns through capital gains and growing revenue, cash flow, earnings and dividends.

Salesforce.com

Marc Benioff, founder and Co-CEO of Salesforce.com, strongly advocated that corporations, especially big technology companies, must be a force for good and that brands can play a major role in doing good. He conveyed the message during a C-Suite session this month at CES 2020 that businesses can be mutually financially successful, sustainable and philanthropic business. He stated the point that a business can and should successfully serve the interests of all stakeholders, which includes the planet. In his opinion, every corporate CEO should adopt a public school, public hospital or combat homelessness in the community they operate. In short, all stakeholders have to matter; and, the planet and local community are key stakeholders.

“Don’t read people’s lips; Watch their feet.”

Marc’s company, Salesforce.com, from its beginning is 1999, has made trust its major value and serving all stakeholders’ interests which include giving back to its community a core purpose. Putting action to their words, the company has directed one percent (1%) of corporate resources which is over $300 million (profits, equity, and time) into giving back to the community. He went as far as proposing a corporate tax to battle homelessness. As a result, Salesforce.com has been regularly ranked as one of the best places to work in America and has had a 4,000 percent return on investment (ROI) for their shareholders.

“Businesses are the greatest platform for change.”

In his opinion and how he designed Salesforce.com, businesses are the greatest platform for change and people are basically good; his intent when he left Oracle to start Salesforce.com was to create a company culture based on trust and optimized to enable employees to do good. He felt that “…purpose is defined by the company; it cannot be enforced”.

Stakeholder Capitalism

Stakeholder capitalism, Marc Benioff opined, is a more fair, a more just and a more equitable form of capitalism than its predecessor. It means paying men and women the same. It’s means embracing values of trust, truth and doing the right thing over time. He often asks technology companies’ CEO’s and boards what are their priorities, what are their highest values, and what is truly important to them. Since in his view, making money is easy; doing the right thing takes effort and dedication.

But, leadership is about who you are and what you do. CEO’s of major technology companies must look at their values and purpose. They must assess whether they’re using these influential platforms to make the world better or just to make money. Despite the recent negative news surrounding big technology companies like Facebook on issues of privacy and impacting the U.S. Presidential elections, Marc stated that they can do both…make the world better for all stakeholders and make money for shareholders.

Don’t Just Save…Value Invest

Posted on by

Make the most of your money and that means investing.

For many Americans, investing can appear to be a frightening gamble. Memories of the 2008 financial crisis devastated investment accounts with paper losses more than ten years ago create the reluctance among many to invest.

However, in order to beat inflation and ensure that your savings will work for you long term, it’s crucial to invest in growth-oriented investments such as the stock market. Whether through an employer-sponsored 401(k) plan, a traditional or Roth IRA, an individual brokerage account or somewhere else, to build wealth and financial security, individuals must invest in the equity stock market. And, it is important to start investing as early as you can to give your money as much time as possible to grow.

Valuation matters, and it matters a lot.

Value investing rarely performs well in the short run. This is especially true during strong bull markets. Popular non-GARP (growth at a reasonable price) stocks are likely to be overvalued whereas unpopular value stocks will be where the best bargains can be found.

Consequently, being a value investor means being a patient investor and implies that an investor have a long-term mindset. Value investing rarely produces short-term results, because value investing usually also implies investing in out of favor stocks. This unpopularity is often why they have become bargains.

Moreover, value stocks are typically inexpensive for good reasons. Therefore, we need to ascertain whether the discounted stock price is justified or perhaps an overreaction by investors. These judgments can help us determine the level of risk we are facing and if we are being adequately compensated for taking it by the low valuations or not.

Additionally, in the long run value stocks often dramatically outperform and very often do so by taking on significantly less risk than other strategies such as momentum, or in many cases even growth. This is attributed to the fact that the risk is being mitigated by low valuation (price) and margin of safety.

As a result, the key benefit of value investing is the valuation risk mitigation element. Research demonstrates that stocks that are properly valued, or undervalued, are more defensive in a volatile or bear market.

Margin of Safety

Margin of safety is the difference between the intrinsic value of a stock against its prevailing market price. Intrinsic value is the actual worth of a company’s asset, or the present value of an asset when adding up the total discounted future income generated:

  • Deep value investing – buying stocks in seriously undervalued businesses. The main goal is to search for significant mismatches between current stock prices and the intrinsic value of these stocks. This kind of investing requires a large amount of margin to invest with and takes lots of guts, as it is risky.
  • Growth at reasonable price investing – choosing companies that have positive growth trading rates which are somehow below the intrinsic value.

Margin of safety serves as a cushion against errors in calculation. Since fair value is difficult to accurately predict, safety margins protect investors from poor decisions and downturns in the market.

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/07/how-much-money-youd-have-if-you-invested-500-dollars-a-month-since-2009.html

The No. 1 secret to long-term investment success – MarketWatch

Posted on by

The key to long-term success is to pick a good strategy and then establish a lifetime commitment to maintain that strategy regardless of what’s going on at the moment.

In the short term and the medium term, the market is unpredictable and seemingly random. But over the long term (I’m talking decades), it’s easier to figure out and predict.

If there’s a “secret” to long-term success, it’s managing your expectations.

— Read on www.marketwatch.com/story/the-no-1-secret-to-long-term-investment-success-2020-01-21