Category Archives: Investing

ARK’s Cathie Wood

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“Cathie Wood is a star stock-picker and founder of ARK Invest, which invests in innovations like self-driving cars and genomics.” Forbes

Cathie Wood founded ARK Investment Management seven years ago in 2014. One of the biggest secrets to ARK’s investment strategy and noteworthy success, according to Wood, is “the willingness to step in when others are selling a stock for very short-term reasons. We get great opportunities like that.”

Wood said it “pains me more than anything” to think clients might be panicking and selling at the wrong time.

Thus, Wood isn’t focused on short-term fluctuations. She takes a long term and bold view. “We have a five-year investment time horizon,” she says. Since, the big ideas blossoming todaywere planted 30 years ago, she says: “We are ready for prime time now.

Additionally, Wood and her team has been early on many themes—they embraced active management when investing seemed inexorably tied to indexing; they implemented stock-picking in active ETFs while the largest asset managers said it couldn’t be done; and she bought companies that others thought were overpriced, a novelty, or both.

Investing in transformative technologies that are going to change the world

Wood’s focus has been on innovative companies with technology to disrupt the way we live. Her portfolios are loaded with stocks that have skyrocketed—for example, Tesla is a big holding in three of her funds. She is an advocate of a future where technology would make everything better, more productive and profitable.

As Wood and her company’s research frequently remind investors, electrification, the telephone, and the internal combustion engine turned the world upside down a century ago. Now, she believes that five technologies—artificial intelligence, blockchain, DNA sequencing, energy storage, and robotics—are bringing about an equally profound transformation of the economy. These innovations will converge, recombine into things like autonomous taxis and whatnot, and create a perfect economic storm of higher wages, falling prices, and wider profit margins.

Ark’s ideas start with their research. Wood researched stocks with dogged determination. “Cathie is insatiably curious; she was a voracious consumer of research from all over the Street. She read everything from everyone,” says Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer for Morgan Stanley Wealth Management.

For example, they state that they take a blank sheet of paper and just say, “What is an autonomous vehicle? What’s the right way to build one? What are the critical variables?” They believe that they will inevitably run into the companies that not only have good answers, but are leading the charge

She was on a mission to allocate capital to its best use—transformative technologies. Innovation is early-stage growth, and it is typically exponential growth. Companies developing these platforms can generate revenue growth of more than 20% [annually] for years and years.

Wood looked at places that other investment analysts ignore. She found stocks that sat at the intersection of multiple industries, and weren’t followed by analysts from any side. This, she realized, is where innovation happens.

Most growth companies have a decay rate, which means the bigger a company gets, the harder it is to grow. Exponential growth often includes network effects and virality, which means the more people joining the network, the more valuable it becomes, and the faster it grows.

Wood’s believes in transparency when financial firms don’t allow portfolio managers and analysts to use social media to share their research or even gather information. At ARK, Wood created an open-source ecosystem, where the team can share research and collaborate with scientists, engineers, doctors, and other experts. Every Friday morning, she convenes an investment ideas meeting with her analysts and outside experts that’s part business school seminar and part free-form futurist bull session. “Most compliance teams would not be comfortable with that,” Wood says. “From the beginning, ARK actively shares the knowledge they’re generating.

Conservative philosophy

The dawning of a high-tech future is central to Wood’s life philosophy. In starting ARK, her goal was “encouraging the new creation,” by investing in “transformative technologies that were going to change the world.” The triumph of innovation also fits well with her free-market views. To a younger generation tempted by socialism, she’s hoping to show that capitalism can still work its magic.

She’s conservative, both politically and economically. For decades she’s championed green investments. Wood has bemoaned President Joe Biden’s plans to spend big and tax the wealthy, even though many of his proposals are designed to bring the economy closer to her futuristic vision for it, and though higher capital-gains taxes could push more money into tax-efficient funds like hers. She warns that higher taxes on companies and investors will discourage future innovation.

References:

  1. https://www.barrons.com/articles/arks-cathie-wood-disrupted-investment-management-shes-not-done-yet-51614992508
  2. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2021-05-27/cathie-wood-is-a-believer-from-bitcoin-to-tesla-even-as-arkk-fund-stumbles
  3. https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-telehealth-and-the-genomics-revolution-power-ark-funds-51603450802

The Five Simple Rules to Investing | TD Ameritrade

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Investing does not have to be complicated and can be a hedge to expected strong inflation.


 

“Global investment managers are more worried about the risk of inflation on markets than they are about the risk of Covid-19.” Bank of America survey

72% of global fund managers expect strong inflation to be transitory, despite US prices surging 5% year-on-year in May, according to Bank of America’s latest survey. The Bank of America survey polled 224 managers with $630 billion in assets under management between March 5 and 11, 2021.

In their collective opinions, trillions of dollars in federal stimulus spending in the United States helped set the economy on the path to recovery, but it’s also fueled concerns about ballooning levels of debt and the rapid inflation that could accompany the injection of so much money into the fragile economic system, according to an article in Forbes. 

Despite the risks, investor sentiment overall is still “unambiguously bullish,” the survey found, with 91% of fund managers expecting a stronger economy in the future and nearly half of fund managers are now expecting a v-shaped recovery in global markets. 

“Investors (are) bullishly positioned for permanent growth, transitory inflation and a peaceful Fed taper,” said Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at BofA, adding that 63% of the investors believe Fed will signal a taper by September.

References:

  1. https://www.forbes.com/sites/sarahhansen/2021/03/16/inflation-not-covid-19-is-now-the-biggest-risk-to-markets-bank-of-america-survey-shows/?sh=6f5fd2db3b1f
  2. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-markets-survey-bofa/investors-see-transitory-inflation-and-peaceful-fed-taper-bofa-survey-idUSKCN2DR0Z9

Investing Goals

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“The goal of investing is to maximize your returns and to put your money to work for you.” 

Emergency funds
Being prepared for life’s surprises can take a burden off your mind—and someday, your wallet. An emergency fund is a stash of money set aside to cover the financial surprises life throws your way. These unexpected events can be stressful and costly.

Here are some of the top emergencies people face:

  • Job loss.
  • Medical or dental emergency.
  • Unexpected home repairs.
  • Car troubles.
  • Unplanned travel expenses.

3 benefits of having emergency money

Aside from financial stability, there are pros to having an emergency reserve of cash.

— It helps keep your stress level down.

It’s no surprise that when life presents an emergency, it threatens your financial well-being and causes stress. If you’re living without a safety net, you’re living on the “financial” edge—hoping to get by without running into a crisis.

Being prepared with an emergency fund gives you confidence that you can tackle any of life’s unexpected events without adding money worries to your list.

— It keeps you from spending on a whim.

You’ve heard the saying “out of sight, out of mind.” That’s the best way to store your emergency money. If the cash is only as far away as your closest debit card, you may be tempted to use it for something frivolous like a designer cocktail dress or big-screen TV—not exactly an emergency.

Keeping the money out of your immediate reach means you can’t spend it on a whim, no matter how much you’d like to.

And by putting it in a separate account, you’ll know exactly how much you have—and how much you may still need to save.

— It keeps you from making bad financial decisions.

There may be other ways you can quickly access cash, like borrowing, but at what cost? Interest, fees, and penalties are just some of the drawbacks

Retirement

Saving for retirement might be the most important thing you ever do with your money. And the earlier you begin, the less money it will take.

When it comes to preparing for retirement, there are a lot of things you can’t control—the future of Social Security, tax rates, and inflation, for example. But one big thing that you can control is the amount you save.

Social Security shouldn’t be your only retirement plan since Social Security was never meant to be anyone’s sole source of retirement income.

In fact, a 30-year-old making $50,000 per year today—and who might realistically expect to make substantially more by the time he or she retires—can expect less than $22,000 per year from Social Security at age 67 (in today’s dollars).

In the past, pensions often offered an additional source of income for retirees. But pension plans are becoming rare in today’s world, and it’s more important than ever to take advantage of the opportunity to save for your future.

Keep in mind that on average, Social Security payments make up only about 33% of Americans’ retirement income, according to Social Security Administration.

Spending now could mean you’ll pay for it later

Perhaps you’d rather spend your money on other things that are more fun than saving for retirement.

But because compounding can enhance the value of your savings, the “pain” of each dollar you save now can be greatly outweighed by the flexibility you gain later.

Of course, we’re not suggesting you’d be better off squeezing the last drop of enjoyment from your life.

But we think that knowing you’ll be all set to meet your basic needs later—with enough left over to let you comfortably do the things you look forward to in retirement—is worth going without a few treats now and then.

Choosing to spend less on certain expenses now could make a huge impact in the long run! For example, you could spend $3,600 a year on payments for a new car during the next 5 years … or you could watch that money grow to $80,000 over the next 40 years!*

Control what you can

In the end, the future of Social Security isn’t the only thing that’s out of your hands. Tax rates will almost certainly change between now and your retirement date, and inflation will continue to increase prices over time. Other government programs, like Medicare, might also change.

But there’s one thing that only you can completely control: how much you save. Start now and you might be surprised at how little you notice the sacrifice.

  1. https://investor.vanguard.com/emergency-fund/
  2. https://investor.vanguard.com/retirement/savings/why-save

Apple’s Stock Price Underperforms Market 2021 YTD

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“‘Most important, have the courage to follow your heart and intuition.’ Remembering Steve and the many ways he changed our world.”  Tim Cook

On June 8, 2021, Apple Inc. (ticker: AAPL) closed $18.35 below its 52-week high ($145.09), which the company achieved on January 25th, and the stock is down slightly more than 4% year-to-date (YTD).

No photo description available.

Despite the recent stock price underperformance, Apple remains the most valued U.S.-traded company, at $2.1 trillion market capitalization. On April 28, 2021, Apple announced financial results for its fiscal 2021 second quarter ended March 27, 2021. The Company posted a second quarter record revenue of $89.6 billion, up 54 percent year over year, and quarterly earnings per diluted share of $1.40. International sales accounted for 67 percent of the quarter’s revenue. While hardware like the iPhone and iPad will continue being a significant part of Apple’s revenue, look for services to play an increasingly important role over the next decade in the company’s growth and success.

Yet, investors remain concerned regarding the big questions facing Apple and its ecosystem, according to an article reported in the Wall Street Journal. The company has been sued for alleged anticompetitive behavior by “Fortnite” maker Epic Games over the rules and fees for its App Store. A bench trial on the matter wrapped up last week.

That trial ended with Apple Chief Executive Tim Cook facing sharp questions from U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers, who seemed skeptical about some of the company’s explanations for its business practices on the App Store. A ruling in the case is not expected for months.

Apple’s share price has fallen 3% since the start of the trial and is now off nearly 7% for the year—the worst performance among its mega-cap tech peers. Part of that can be chalked up to worries about a peak iPhone cycle following the strong sales performance of last year’s models.

From a capital allocation perspective, Apple’s board hiked its dividend by 7% and announced a new $90B share repurchase program. Despite well-known industry chip supply constraints, Apple appears to be executing extremely well and is seeing robust demand across all business line.

References:

  1. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-inc-stock-rises-monday-still-underperforms-market-01623097911-d343febf425e
  2. https://www.wsj.com/articles/apples-big-show-may-not-be-enough-11622804401
  3. https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2021/04/apple-reports-second-quarter-results/

Investment Risks and Taxes

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No investment is completely free of risk.

When it comes to investing, it’s critical to understand that no investment is 100% safe and all investments come with risk. Unlike when you store your money in a savings account, investing has no guarantees that you’ll earn a return. When you invest, experiencing a financial loss is a possibility.

Investing means that you’re putting your money to work into a financial asset in the expectation of getting a positive return. Yet, where there’s the chance of financial gain, there’s always going to be the chance of a financial loss. Investment risk and investment reward are two sides of the same investing coin.

On the other hand, saving — which is basically parking your money in an account so it’ll keep its value.

Some investments are considered safer than others, but no investment is completely free of risk, because there’s more than one kind of risk, according to SoFi.

Different Types of Risk

Investors who choose products and strategies to avoid market volatility may be leaving themselves open to other risks, including:

  • Inflation risk – An asset could become less valuable as inflation erodes its purchasing power. If an investment is earning little or nothing (a certificate of deposit or savings account, for example), it won’t buy as much in the future as prices on various goods and services go up.
  • Interest rate risk – A change in interest rates could reduce the value of certain investments. These can include bonds and other fixed-rate, “safe” investment vehicles.
  • Liquidity risk – Could an asset be sold or converted if the investor needs cash? Collections, jewelry, a home, or a car could take a while to market—and if the owner is forced to sell quickly, the price received could be lower than the asset is worth. Certain investments (certificates of deposit, some annuities) also may have some liquidity risk because they may offer a higher return in exchange for a longer term, and there may be a penalty if the investor cashes out early.
  • Tax risk – An investment could lose its value because of the way it’s taxed. For example, different types of bonds may be taxed in different ways.
  • Legislative risk- A change in law could lower the value of an investment. For example, if the government imposes new regulations on a business, it could result in higher costs (and lower profits) for the company or affect how it can serve its customers. Or, if taxes go up in the future, savers who put all or most of their money into tax-deferred accounts [IRAs, 401(k)s, etc.] could end up with a hefty tax bill when they retire.
  • Global risk – An investment in a foreign stock could lose value because of currency problems, political turmoil, and other factors.
  • Reinvestment risk – When an investment matures (think CDs and bonds), the investor might not be able to replace it with a similar vehicle that has the same or a higher rate of return.

Taxes

“Worried about an IRS audit? Avoid what’s called a red flag. That’s something the IRS always looks for. For example, say you have some money left in your bank account after paying taxes. That’s a red flag.” Jay Leno

Taxes are a key consideration for investors – and not one that investors might think about when logging into their brokerage account. Yes, $0 trades are exciting, but don’t forget about taxes — which are an investors “biggest expense” or every traders “silent partner”.

The key to taxes is to not just think about taxes in tax season, because there’s not that much you can do besides contribute to an IRA.

When it comes to tax planning, most of it has to be done before the year is over. One strategy that’s very useful is tax-loss harvesting. Essentially, it allows investors with any sort of investment losses to use that to offset any gains, reducing the amount of taxes owed.

Investors can use the tax-loss harvesting proceeds to buy something else, and it can even be very similar. Or they can use the money to rebalance. “Don’t hesitate to take losses and use them to your advantage,” said Hayden Adams, director of tax and financial planning at Charles Schwab. “You’re likely to have losses and tax-loss harvesting is a great way to rebalance to get back to proper risk tolerance.”

The key for investors is to know the rules and work within them.

References:

  1. https://www.sofi.com/learn/content/what-is-a-safe-investment/
  2. https://www.businessinsider.com/safe-investments
  3. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/what-new-stock-traders-need-to-know-and-do-before-the-end-of-the-year-192426159.html

Dividends and Income

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“Income and cash flow are the priority in retirement.”

A dividend is a payment made from a company to its shareholders – often quarterly, but sometimes monthly. Dividends are a way for shareholders to participate and share in the growth of the underlying business above and beyond the share price’s appreciation.

Dividends are cash payments made on a per-share basis to investors. For instance, if a company pays a dividend of 20 cents per share, an investor with 100 shares would receive $20 in cash. Stock dividends are a percentage increase in the number of shares owned. If an investor owns 100 shares and the company issues a 10% stock dividend, that investor will have 110 shares after the dividend.

When publicly traded companies have extra cash on hand, it gives the management team some flexibility and options. With some extra cash, they can:

  • Take that money and invest it back in the business – they might do that through expanding existing operations, building factories, possibly acquiring another company that can help them grow.
  • Take that money and buy back shares of its own company – this strategy reduces the number of ways ownership of the company is sliced up, increasing the ownership. or
  • They can pay out some of that money to people who own shares of the company as a way to “share the wealth” and reward them for owning the business (dividend)

Dividends vs. Bonds

Bonds are obligated to pay interest to bondholders on a regular basis, but there’s no obligation for a company to pay dividends. When income from dividend producing assets decline, retirees may realize they don’t have enough cash flow to pay all their expenses. In order to save cash, some non-essential expenses are often cut or eliminated.

Investors who rely on income, especially those in retirement, tend to gravitate to dividend stocks because bonds pay so little. They could be in for a big shock. Many steady dividends payers have said they will cut their dividends (AT&T) or eliminate them completely (Boeing). For people who live off of dividends, a severe cut would significantly affect the amount of money they have to live on.

Additionally, dividends are taxed at the more favorable capital gains tax rates. This can be an important benefit for retirees who likely don’t have a lot of write-offs,

Long-term investors should focus on total return (capital gains plus dividend income) when thinking about how to invest your retirement savings.

Dividends importance to total equity returns over the long term cannot be overstated. Ibbotson Associates data from 1927 to 2002 show that more than 40% of the compound annual growth of its large-cap equity index can be attributed to dividend payouts. That said, the contribution of dividends over shorter periods can exhibit a fair amount of disparity. Indeed, over the decades, it has ranged from a low of about 15% in the 1990s to a high of 71% in the 1970s.

Graphing the difference between ten-year compounded growth rates from dividends and capital appreciation for the years 1947 through 2002, a picture of alternating leadership begins to appear. Clearly, capital appreciation has been dominant in periods of lower inflation and stable interest rates due to the positive impact that it has on price-to-earnings (P/E) multiples. On the other hand, dividends have carried most of the burden of equity market returns in periods of higher inflation and volatile interest rates when P/E multiples were contracting.

Consider all streams of income — Social Security, pensions, IRAs, part-time work — when devising a broader strategy (and tax plan) for your retirement years. Given that “investors using dividend-paying stocks for income must have a strong constitution,” says Richard Steinberg, chief market strategist at The Colony Group.

Dividends are not guaranteed and are paid at the discretion of the board of directors. Unlike a bond, which must pay a contracted amount or be in default, the board of directors can decide to reduce the dividend or even eliminate it at any time.

References:

  1. https://money.usnews.com/investing/investing-101/articles/how-to-live-on-dividend-income
  2. https://money.usnews.com/investing/investing-101/articles/what-are-dividends-and-how-do-they-work

Stop Orders

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A stop order, also referred to as a stop-loss order, is an order to buy or sell a stock once the price of the stock reaches a specified price, known as the stop price.  Stop orders are orders that are triggered when a stock moves past a specific price point. Beyond that price point, stop orders are converted into market orders that are executed at the best available price.

When the stop price is reached, a stop order becomes a market order.  

A buy stop order is entered at a stop price above the current market price.  Investors generally use a buy stop order to limit a loss or to protect a profit on a stock that they have sold short.  

A sell stop order is entered at a stop price below the current market price. Investors generally use a sell stop order to limit a loss or to protect a profit on a stock that they own.

Stop orders are used to limit losses with a stop-loss or lock in profits using a bullish stop.

References:

  1. https://www.sec.gov/fast-answers/answersstopordhtm.html
  2. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/stoporder.asp

Successful Long Term Investing

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“All there is to investing is picking good stocks at good times and staying with them as long as they remain good companies.” Warren Buffett

You need courage, a long term focus, and the discipline to adhere to a long term plan to buy stocks when the markets are turbulent, stock prices are melting down, and the economy is in a deep slump, and the outlook for corporate earnings over the subsequent quarters is unfavorable. In Warren Buffett’s view, “Widespread fear is your friend as an investor because it serves up bargain purchases.” Thus, smart long-term investors love when the prices of their favorite stocks fall, as it produces some of the most favorable buying opportunities. According to Buffett, “Opportunities come infrequently. When it rains gold, put out the bucket, not the thimble.”

“The best thing that happens to us is when a great company gets into temporary trouble…We want to buy them when they’re on the operating table.” Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

Additionally, investors must focus on the long term — a minimum of seven to ten years — and look for high-quality, blue-chip companies that have fortress like balance sheets and can generate extraordinary free cash flow. In the short term, equity markets tend to swing wildly from day to day on the smallest of news, trend and sentiment, and celebrate or vilify the most inane data points. It’s important not to get caught up in the madness but stick to your homework. Warren Buffett quipped that, “If you aren’t willing to own a stock for ten years, don’t even think about owning it for ten minutes.”

Invest in well-managed, financially strong businesses that sell goods and services for which demand is consistently strong (think food, consumer goods, and medicines), since it’s essential to keep capital preservation and margin of safety at the top of your priority list when deciding how to invest your money. As Buffett says, “Whether we’re talking about socks or stocks, I like buying quality merchandise when it is marked down.”

Businesses that are well managed and that have strong balance sheets typically display certain characteristics:

  • They carry little or no debt.
  • They generate enough free cash flow (earnings plus depreciation and other noncash charges, minus the capital outlays needed to maintain the business) that they don’t have to raise equity or sell debt.
  • They have a proven history of management excellence.
  • They have abundant opportunities for reinvesting capital (or clear policies for returning excess capital to shareholders), and their leaders boast an outstanding record of allocating capital.
  • They have a durable competitive advantage which could mean cost advantages, a strong brand name, or something else.
  • In addition, they are global in scope. After all, 95% of the world’s population lives outside the U.S., and economic growth is likely to be greater abroad than at home.

“We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.” Warren Buffett

To be a successful long term investor, it’s essential to filter out the short-term noise. Most of the chatter from Wall Street and in the financial entertainment media headlines is just that: chatter you can and should ignore. “We’ve long felt that the only value of stock forecasters is to make fortune tellers look good. According to Buffett, “Even now, Charlie and I continue to believe that short-term market forecasts are poison and should be kept locked up in a safe place, away from children and also from grown-ups who behave in the market like children.”

“The key to investing is not assessing how much an industry is going to affect society, or how much it will grow, but rather determining the competitive advantage of any given company and, above all, the durability of that advantage.” Warren Buffet

If You’re Not Investing You’re Doing it Wrong

“Today people who hold cash equivalents feel comfortable. They shouldn’t. They have opted for a terrible long-term asset, one that pays virtually nothing and is certain to depreciate in value.” Warren Buffett

Investing in equities delivers higher returns than bond or cash investments over the long term but is accompanied by a higher exposure to market risk. Investing in fixed income investments offers more modest return potential and risk exposure. Investors can invest in cash as a low- risk, low-return strategy, which is ideal for short-term savings goals or to balance out the risks of stock and bond investments. Ideally, investors’ asset allocations should reflect their goals, risk tolerance, time horizon, income and wealth, and other personal factors.

“The most important quality for an investor is temperament, not intellect. You need a temperament that neither derives great pleasure from being with the crowd or against the crowd.” Warren Buffett

References:

  1. https://www.kiplinger.com/article/investing/t038-c000-s002-7-blue-chips-to-hold-forever.html
  2. https://www.fool.com/investing/best-warren-buffett-quotes.aspx
  3. https://www.ruleoneinvesting.com/blog/how-to-invest/warren-buffett-quotes-on-investing-success/
  4. https://personal.vanguard.com/pdf/how-america-invests-2020.pdf

Long-Term Investing

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“Finding success as a long-term investor requires navigating a psychological minefield.”. Ben Carson, Director of Institutional Asset Management at Ritholtz Wealth Management.

Everyone would agree that the stock market has been highly volatile since the turn of the 21st century, experiencing crashes of 50%, 57% and 34% since 2000. It’s possible this level of heightened volatility is going to remain for the foreseeable future with an assist from the internet, rising sovereign debt and inflation.

Investing for the long-term implies that you set aside money today so you can have more money in the future. But getting to whatever the “long-term” means to you requires seeing the present value of your holdings fall, sometimes in soul-crushing fashion.

In the coming 40-50 years, you should expect to experience at least 10 or more bear markets, including 5 or 6 that constitute a market crash in stocks. There will also probably be at least 7-8 recessions in that time as well, maybe more.

However, you can never be sure of anything when it comes to the equity markets or the U.S. economy, but let’s use history as a rough guide on this. Over the 50 years from 1970-2019, there were 7 recessions, 10 bear markets and 4 legitimate market crashes with losses in excess of 30% for the U.S. stock market. Over the previous 50 years from 1920-1969, there were 11 recessions, 15 bear markets, and 8 legitimate market crashes with losses in excess of 30% for the U.S. stock market.

Bear markets, brutal market crashes and recessions are a fact of life as an investor. They are a common and expected feature of the financial system.

If you’re investing in the stock market that means you should plan on losing at least 10% of your money once every 1-2 years, on average. You should also plan on losing 20% of your capital once every 3 or 4 years, 30% once every 6 or 7 years and 40% or worse every 10-12 years.

These time frames aren’t set in stone since actual stock market returns are anything but average but you get the point. If your money is invested in the stock market for the long-term, expect it to grow over time but also evaporate without warning on occasion.

The same applies to pretty much any risk asset.

References:

  1. https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2021/05/sometimes-you-just-have-to-eat-your-losses-in-the-markets/
  2. https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2021/02/a-short-history-of-u-s-stock-market-corrections-bear-markets/

Investing – How to Get Started

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“It’s not how much money you make, but how much money you keep, how hard it works for you, and how many generations you keep it for.”  Robert Kiyosaki, Rich Dad Poor Dad

Investing, which involves putting your money to work, is a great first step toward building wealth for yourself and your family. If you think investing is gambling, you’re doing it wrong. The world of investing requires discipline, planning and patience. And, the gains you see over decades can be exciting. The three most common categories of investments, referred to as asset classes, include:

  1. Stocks – which are a share in a company. These tend to be riskier investments, but also typically offer more potential for profit over time.
  2. Bonds – which are a share of debt issued by a business or the government. These are safer investments, typically returning a lower profit than stocks over time.
  3. Cash and cash equivalents – which are readily available cash and short-term investments like certificates of deposit (CDs). These are the safest investments, but typically return little profit over time.

 

Before you start investing, it is important for you to understand a few basic concepts and definitions, such as:

Risk Tolerance

Risk tolerance is basically your emotional ability to deal with losing money. If you invested $1,000 today, could you deal with it being worth $500 for a period of time? That’s possible if you invest heavily in stocks, which tend to increase in value over time but can be volatile from one day to the next. If you answered yes to being okay losing a great deal of money for a period of time, then you have a high risk tolerance.

Time Horizon

Time horizon is the amount of time before you want to use your money. If you’re planning to use the money to make a down payment on a home within the next three years, you have a short time horizon and would likely have less risk tolerance. If you’re not planning to use the money until you retire in 30 years, then you have a long time horizon and can afford to take on more risk.

Asset Allocation

Asset allocation is the percentage of stocks, bonds or cash you own. If you have a high risk tolerance and long time horizon, you’re likely to want a larger percentage of stocks because you’ll be able to weather ups and downs and make more money over the long term. On the other hand, if you have a low risk tolerance and short time horizon, you probably want more cash and bonds so that you don’t lose money right before you need it.

Stocks, bonds and cash tend to respond differently to market conditions (one may go up when the others go down). Asset allocation helps you spread your money so that when one asset class unexpectedly zigs, your whole portfolio doesn’t zig along with it. In this way, asset allocation can help ensure your portfolio is correctly positioned to help you reach your financial goals, no matter what is happening in the market.

Diversification

Diversification splits your investments among different groupings or sectors in order to reduce risk. That includes your asset allocation. But it also includes where you invest within asset classes. For instance, you might diversify between stocks in companies located within the United States and stocks in companies located in Asia.

Different sectors of the economy do better at different times. It’s tough to predict which one will do well in any given year. So when you diversify and own stocks across different sectors, you are positioned to make money on whatever sector is performing well at the time. A well-diversified portfolio can help lessen the impact of market ups and downs on your portfolio.

Rebalancing

If you’ve done a good job with asset allocation and diversifying, then the balance of your portfolio is likely going to get out of whack over time as one sector does better than another. For instance, let’s say you wanted 10 percent of your stocks to be companies in Asia. If companies in Asia have a great year, those companies may now make up 15 percent of your stocks. In that case you’ll want to sell some of those stocks and use that money to buy more stocks (or even bonds) in parts of your portfolio that didn’t do as well.

Rebalancing on a regular basis (once or twice a year, for example) can help ensure your portfolio remains aligned with your goals. And because it provides a disciplined approach to investing, portfolio rebalancing also may prevent you from buying or selling investments based on emotion.

Dollar Cost Averaging 

Dollar cost averaging (DCA) involves putting your investment plan on autopilot.  With DCA, you invest a set amount at set intervals (for example, $200 every month) in the market. By investing systematically, you’ll buy more shares of an investment when the market is lower, fewer when the market is higher, and some when the market is in between. Over time, this may help you to pay a lower average price for the total shares you purchase.

DCA takes the emotion out of investing, helping you to start on your investment plan sooner, rather than later. And once you begin, DCA can also help you remain focused on your goals, no matter what’s happening in the market. It helps make investing a habit.

Capital Gains

Capital gains is an increase in the value of an asset or investment over time. Capital gains is measured by the difference between the current value, or market value, of an asset or investment and its purchase price, or the value of the asset or investment at the time it was acquired {cost basis}.

Realized capital gains and losses occur when an asset is sold, which triggers a taxable event. Unrealized gains and losses, sometimes referred to as paper gains and losses, reflect an increase or decrease in an investment’s value but are not considered a capital gain that should be treated as a taxable event.

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Fiscal Fact: The average white household had $402,000 in unrealized capital gains in 2019, compared with $94,000 for Black households and $130,000 for Hispanic or Latino households. These disparities have generally widened over time.  Source:  Tax Policy Center https://www.taxpolicycenter.org/fiscal-fact/unrealized-capital-gains-ff-05102021

Capital gains are classified as either short-term or long-term. Short-term capital gains, defined as gains realized in securities held for one year or less, are taxed as ordinary income based on the individual’s tax filing status and adjusted gross income. Long-term capital gains, defined as gains realized in securities held for more than one year, are usually taxed at a lower rate than regular income.

“If you want to become really wealthy, you must have your money work for you. The amount you get paid for your personal effort is relatively small compared with the amount you can earn by having your money make money.” John D. Rockefeller

Before you start investing or putting your money to work for your, do your homework and research. Once you’ve made a decision, make sure to re-evaluate the assets in your portfolio on a regular basis. A good asset today may not necessarily be a good asset in the future.

And, don’t panic during the inevitable setbacks and don’t be fearful during the inevitable stock market corrections that all long-term investors face. If the reasoning behind the investment decision was sound when purchased, stick with the assets, and they should eventually recover and grow.

References:

  1. https://www.investopedia.com/financial-edge/0511/the-top-17-investing-quotes-of-all-time.aspx
  2. https://www.northwesternmutual.com/life-and-money/how-to-invest-a-beginners-guide/
  3. https://www.northwesternmutual.com/life-and-money/4-investment-terms-you-should-know/
  4. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/capitalgain.asp