The Rule of 40

The Rule of 40 is a financial benchmark used to assess the performance and sustainability of fast-growing Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) companies.

It’s a financial metric suggesting a Software as a Service (SaaS) organization’s combined revenue growth rate and profit margin should equal or exceed 40% to demonstrate financial health to potential investors.

The Rule of 40 balances revenue growth and profitability for SaaS companies by requiring their sum to reach or exceed 40%.

Definition

The Rule of 40 adds a company’s year-over-year revenue growth rate (in percentage) to its profit margin, typically EBITDA margin, though alternatives like operating or free cash flow margins apply. Popularized by Brad Feld, it assesses sustainability in high-growth tech firms where pure growth or profit alone misleads.

Calculation

Compute as: Rule of 40 = Revenue Growth Rate (%) + EBITDA Margin (%). For example, 30% growth plus 15% margin equals 45%, passing the rule; 20% growth plus 15% equals 35%, falling short. Use trailing periods like three to twelve months for stability, and weight growth higher (e.g., 1.33x) for early-stage firms.

Usage in Investing

Investors favor scores above 40% as it signals efficient scaling without excessive losses, guiding valuations and M&A.

Track trends over time: improving scores indicate health, while drops below 30-40% flag risks in competitive markets. Mature firms may prioritize margins, while startups lean on growth.

Source:  https://www.paylocity.com/resources/glossary/rule-of-40/

 

Owner Earnings vs Free Cash Flow

Owner earnings represent the true cash flow available to a business owner after accounting for essential reinvestments, popularized by Warren Buffett as a superior measure to reported net income for valuing companies.

Definition

Owner earnings adjust net income by adding back non-cash charges like depreciation and amortization, then subtracting maintenance capital expenditures and changes in working capital. The core formula is: Owner Earnings = Net Income + Depreciation/Amortization – Maintenance CapEx ± Working Capital Changes. This metric reveals cash that could fund dividends, growth, or debt reduction, ignoring accounting distortions.

Owner earnings and free cash flow both measure a company’s cash generation but differ in focus, adjustments, and application for investors.

Core Definitions

Owner earnings, from Warren Buffett, start with net income, add back depreciation/amortization, subtract maintenance capital expenditures (not total CapEx), and adjust for working capital changes to reflect cash truly available to owners.

Free cash flow (FCF) typically equals operating cash flow minus total capital expenditures, capturing cash after all CapEx but without distinguishing maintenance from growth spending.

Calculation Challenges

Precise computation requires estimating maintenance CapEx, as companies rarely disclose it separately from growth spending, leading to subjective judgments. Variations exist, such as starting from operating cash flow or excluding working capital, but all aim to approximate sustainable cash profits.

Pros for Long-Term Investment

Owner earnings excels for value investors by focusing on cash generation over accounting profits, enabling better intrinsic value assessments via comparisons to market cap. Consistent growth signals operational efficiency and sustainability, outperforming peers in cash conversion. It prioritizes businesses with durable competitive advantages, aligning with long-term holding strategies.

Cons for Long-Term Investment

Estimates introduce imprecision, especially for capital-intensive or cyclical firms where CapEx fluctuates. It overlooks growth CapEx benefits, potentially undervaluing expanding companies, and demands deep financial analysis not suited for all investors. Volatile earnings or seasonal patterns further undermine reliability compared to standardized metrics like free cash flow.

Companies with high owner earnings (often proxied by free cash flow or earnings growth tied to cash generation) and high ROIC (Return on Invested Capital, typically above 20-30%) indicate efficient capital allocation and strong economic moats.

These metrics appeal to value investors seeking sustainable profitability. Recent screens highlight US-listed firms excelling in both areas.

Source:  https://strawman.com/member/uploads/objects/de/d778df06286d71562539ae921cd296c6827ef3.pdf

Addition through Subtraction

A man asked his gardener, “How do you make your plants grow so beautifully?”

The gardener replied, “I don’t force them to grow. I simply remove what stops them.”

Michelangelo said something similar…

When asked how he carved the statue of David, he said: “It’s simple. I just remove everything that is NOT David.”

This is called: Addition through Subtraction.

Often, on your quest to unlock inner-greatness, you begin by looking in all the wrong places.

You look to introduce fancy new habits like cold plunges, red light therapy, or gratitude journals because you believe the reason you are not where you want to be is because there’s something you’re not doing.

And ya know what? Sometimes you do need to introduce new habits.

But…

The thing really holding you back are the things you need to STOP doing.

Imagine you’re a car.

Great habits are the accelerator.
Bad habits are the emergency break.

You could press harder on the accelerator, and sure, you’ll go quicker…

But do you smell that?

Yeah, that’s the smell of burn out.

So, before pressing the pedal all the way to the metal, let’s first make sure we’ve disengaged the emergency break.

That is, let’s eliminate those habits holding you back before worrying about the ones that’ll propel you forward.

Here are 3 of the most common bad habits that can hold you back:

1. The Scarcity Mindset

Many are haunted by the specter of scarcity, fearing there’s never enough of whatever we seek (money, love, attention, security, joy, time, etc…)

The paradox here is that when you worry about not having enough, you close ourselves off to the opportunities around you.

And therefore your reality mirrors your beliefs.

Here’s the thing…

Any belief held strongly enough will inevitably become true.

So be careful what you choose to believe…

Because in a very real way, it’ll become your reality.

2. Prioritizing Urgency Over Impact

We live in a noisy world filled with “loud” tasks vying for our attention.

And unfortunately, the loudest tasks tend to be the most urgent (and rarely the most important).

When you’re trapped in the cycle of urgency, it’s easy to confuse being busy with being productive.

But not everything that demands your attention deserves your attention.

3. Collecting Dots Instead of Connecting Dots

This third habit is subtle (and often mistaken for a virtue)…

It’s the excessive collection of dots, or in layman’s terms, the relentless pursuit of knowledge.

The problem?

It’s very hard to get paid for collecting dots.

Surprisingly easy, however, to get paid for connecting them.

**Dots = Information

Remember, the acquisition of knowlege is valuable, but it’s the APPLICATIONS of knowledge that creates real impact in the world.

Truly, life gets good when you stop collecitng more dots…

…and just start connecting the ones you already have.

Or, put another way:

Consume Less. Create More.

Source: Anthony Vicino, on “X”,  https://x.com/anthonyvicino/status/1999856841254130125

 

Steph Curry Brand

NBA superstar and future Hall of Fame inductee Steph Curry walked away from Under Armour with the entire Curry Brand—logo, name, trademarks, athlete roster—and a mid 9-figure settlement.

This isn’t a brand deal breakup. It’s a founder story.⸻
1. Most signature athletes get paid.

Curry built an empire. And when he left? He didn’t lose it. He took it all with him.

2. According to reports:  Curry’s exit deal from Under Armour includes:

• Full rights to the Curry Brand name
• His personal logo + trademarks
• Control of his athlete roster
• Freedom to operate Curry Brand independently

He didn’t just leave. He liberated the intellectual property (IP).

3. Sources put the breakup fee in the mid 9-figure range—a massive breakup fee for ending what was once pitched as a “lifetime” deal.

That’s generational wealth and generational leverage.

4. Under Armour still gets to release Curry 13s + related apparel through 2026 as part of the wind-down…but the future of Curry Brand?

That belongs to Steph.

5. This makes him one of the only superstar athletes in modern history to exit a major brand, and keep the rights to his own name, logo, and product line.

This is not normal. Michael Jordan didn’t do it. LeBron James didn’t. Kobe Bryant didn’t.

Curry just redefined the playbook.

6. What does this mean?

He can now:
→ Build Curry Brand direct-to-consumer
→ Partner with Nike, Adidas, Puma, etc.
→ Bring in new designers
→ Retain full equity + creative control

7. The closest comparison?

Imagine if Jordan left Nike and took the Jumpman with him.

Curry just pulled that off in real life.

8. And with the right partner?

Curry Brand could become the first truly athlete-owned global performance brand—without being trapped under a corporate giant.

He’s no longer just a face on a billboard. He’s the owner behind the brand.

9. No athlete has made a move this bold since Jordan.

But unlike Jordan in ‘84, Steph now controls:

→ The name
→ The marks
→ The team
→ The roadmap

All before retirement.

10. This isn’t about leaving a shoe deal. It’s about writing a new model for athletes:

Start with sponsorship.
Level up to ownership.
Exit with everything.

Steph didn’t just bounce from Under Armour. He walked out with the blueprints.

Curry Brand is now a free agent.
Distribution deals. Licensing power. Direct-to-consumer dominance. All in play.

And Steph’s calling the shots. This is what owning your narrative looks like

Rule of Ten Best Days

The rule of ten best days in the market states that the S&P 500 makes most of its annual returns in just ten days which means don’t time the market. 

Since 1928, the S&P 500 has returned a CAGR return of +8% over the decades. If you exclude the 10 best days, the S&P 500 has returned -13%, according to Tom Lee, CIO and Portfolio Manager, Fundstrat Capital.

This strongly supports staying invested, and not trying to time the market.

Studies using long S&P 500 history show that if you stay fully invested, your long‑term annual return is much higher than if you miss just a handful of the very best days.

For example, one analysis from 1980–2022 found $10,000 grew to about $1.1 million if fully invested, but missing only the 10 best days cut the ending value roughly in half.

Similar work over 1990–2024 shows that missing just 15 best days lowered annualized returns from about 10.7% to 7.6%, and missing more of those days nearly erased the equity return advantage. The practical takeaway is that being out of the market at the wrong moments can be extremely costly.

For the typical retail investor, the message is: avoid emotional in‑and‑out decisions, because most people who try to time the market end up missing more good days than bad and underperform simple buy‑and‑hold.

Creating and staying with a financial strategy can help you avoid making rash moves in response to what’s happening in the market.

Source: https://www.morganstanley.com/atwork/employees/learning-center/articles/cant-time-market

Financial Bubbles

“Irrational exuberance is the psychological basis of a speculative bubble. I define a speculative bubble as a situation in which news of price increases spurs investor enthusiasm” – Robert J. Shiller

A financial bubble is a market phenomenon where an asset or group of assets rapidly inflates in price far beyond their intrinsic value, often driven by excessive speculation, investor psychology of greed, and easy access to capital. This price surge or melt-up becomes unsustainable, leading to a sudden and sharp decline in price or bursting of the bubble, which causes significant financial losses and widespread economic repercussions.

Key characteristics of a financial bubble include rapid price increases not supported by fundamentals, herd behavior fueled by optimism and fear of missing out (FOMO), and eventual panic selling when confidence and asset price collapses.

Financial asset bubbles are like roller coasters – prices soar rapidly and then plunge suddenly, leaving investors feeling disoriented. They occur when the price of assets, like stocks, real estate, or even tulips, shoots up quickly and deviates from its intrinsic value. A trigger, like rapidly increasing earnings or new technology, ignites investor excitement.

FOMO (fear of missing out) kicks in, leading to speculation and further price increases. However, like all roller coasters, the ride eventually ends, sending prices crashing down and leaving those who didn’t get off in time with significant financial losses.

Another unique feature of financial bubbles is its most frustrating: at a bubble’s height, most participants are completely unaware of being caught up in one. It is only in hindsight – after the damage has occurred – that a bubble becomes most clear.

Like bear markets and market corrections, stock market bubbles happen with some frequency, and investors are well served to prepare ahead of time.

The key to surviving a bubble is to not focus on identifying the bubble, but to maintain a diversified portfolio and a disciplined investment approach, which can serve as a steady anchor during a turbulent market.

Unfortunately, bubbles do happen with surprising frequency. As an investor, the important approach is not to avoid them altogether but to learn how to manage through them. In many of past bubbles, it was easy to think that sitting out would equal missing out.

During the Japanese property boom, one may have felt that everyone around them – friends, relatives, neighbors – was getting rich. It can be hard to second-guess the opinions of people we know, but no one is impervious to getting swept up in the excitement – even someone as brilliant as Isaac Newton.

However, it is precisely in these volatile markets that maintaining a diversified and disciplined investment approach becomes crucial.

Source:  https://www.elevatedpwa.com/blog/fundamentals-of-investing-how-to-survive-and-thrive-during-financial-bubbl

Press On: Persist and Never Quit

Success doesn’t belong to the smartest or the luckiest or the most talented—it belongs to those who refuse to quit when things get difficult.

Every journey has its challenging moments, yet those moments are what separate winners from quitters.

When life tests and challenges you, it’s not to stop you—it’s to strengthen and grow you. The people you admire today didn’t have it easy. They kept going when others quit and walked away. They faced repeated rejection, failure, and doubt, yet they pushed through. That’s how real success is built—through habits, persistence, and determination…when it hurts the most.

Quitting might give short-term comfort, but it k!!lls long-term learning and growth. Every time you keep moving through the storm, you’re earning the right to win.

This too shall past!

This adage reflects the temporary nature of the human condition, meaning that neither negative nor positive moments last forever. It captures the idea of impermanence and is often used to offer comfort during difficult times, reminding you that challenges and hardships do occur, but are transient.

In other words, tough times don’t last, but determined and persistent people do. So, keep going until the hard days turn into your success story.

As elite Navy SEALS say, “The only easy day was yesterday!”

President Calvin Coolidge famously said:

“Nothing in this world can take the place of persistence. Talent will not; nothing is more common than unsuccessful men with talent. Genius will not; unrewarded genius is almost a proverb. Education will not; the world is full of educated derelicts. Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent. The slogan ‘Press On!’ has solved and always will solve the problems of the human race.”

While talent, genius, and education are valuable, they alone do not guarantee success. It is habits, persistence, and determination—steadfast effort and willpower—that ultimately lead to achievement and success.

Habits automate the necessary actions toward goals making efforts more efficient and less reliant on constant conscious exertion.

Persistence is the quality that drives continued effort despite setbacks, allowing for resilience against obstacles and failures.

Determination fuels the desire and mindset to keep focused on the goal, enabling sustained persistence.

Together, these qualities form a powerful synergy: habits provide the structure, persistence provides the endurance, and determination provides the motivation to achieve success.

Building Wealth

A job gives you income and can buy you comfort, but it rarely gives you financial independence and freedom.

No matter how high your salary is, if you stop working (trading time for money), the income stops too. That’s why job income alone will never make you wealthy—it keeps you comfortable, not free.

The truth is wealth comes from ownership, not employment. It’s built through owning assets, investments, and systems that earn even when you’re not on the clock.

A job can fund your dreams and aspirations, but it should never be the dream or destination itself.

The wealthy use their jobs and earned income as stepping stones to building wealth. They save, invest, and create multiple streams of income until their money starts working for them. That’s how financial freedom is created—not by working harder, but by working smarter.

Your paycheck can help you survive, but your investments will help you live and achieve freedom.

Believe. Have Faith. Always Be Grateful.

Private Equity Investments

There are nearly 25x the number of actively-held, private equity companies than there are publicly traded companies.

Private equity markets are significantly smaller in total capitalization compared to public equity markets, despite having many more companies.

As of late 2024/early 2025 data, private equity and venture capital combined had approximately $11 trillion in assets under management, which is about 12% of the size of the public equity markets valued at around $87 trillion.

Meanwhile, the number of companies backed by private equity or venture capital is roughly 25 times higher than the number of public companies, which total around 8,800 global constituents. There are currently over 215,000 companies with either private equity or venture capital backing.1

In comparison, the MSCI ACWI Investable Market Index, which covers 99% of the global public equity opportunity set, has approximately 8,800 constituents as of September 30.

This size discrepancy reflects that public companies tend to be larger on average, often including very large market capitalizations above $3 billion, whereas private equity firms hold stakes in many smaller companies.

The private equity market is broad and diverse but remains a fraction of the capitalization seen in public markets, even though it includes a significantly greater number of companies overall.

Data from Cambridge Associates shows that private equity has consistently outperformed stocks for the past 25 years. The comparison is between the returns of roughly 1,500 private equity funds and the Russell 3000, which is an index made up of the 3,000 largest U.S. public companies.

During the 25-year period ending with December 31, 2022, private equity saw an average annual return of 13.33%, while the Russell 3000 saw an average return of 8.16%.3

But those returns don’t necessarily tell the whole story. First, private equity is considered a high-risk investment. Yes, you have a chance of getting a return that’s higher than the stock market. However, you also have a greater chance of losing your money, given that private equity often invests in startups. Private equity funds also tend to have high fees, which can cut into returns.

Additionally, private equity funds are highly illiquid. When you invest in one of these funds, you’re often committing your money for many years before you can expect a return. As a result, you’re faced with the opportunity cost of the investment returns you could have made elsewhere during that time.

Source:

  1. https://www.empower.com/the-currency/money/private-equity-vs-public-equity

Phil Fisher Investing Philosophy

Famed investor Phil Fisher was one of the world’s most stubborn investors. He once held a stock for 49 years until he died.

He bought Motorola in 1955 for $10 and watched it grow 20x, turning every $1,000 invested in 1957 into $2 million.

Phil Fisher founded his investment firm in 1931 at age 24. And for 70 years, he beat the market using one simple rule:

“Buy great companies and never sell.”

If the job has been correctly done when the stock was purchased, the time to sell it is almost never.”

He held Motorola from 1955 to 2004.

His investments made millions by being patient and waiting for compounding to occur.

The biggest enemy in investing, he believed, was the urge to take action which leads to selling your winners too early and disrupting the power of compounding.

With investing, Fisher utilized the “scuttlebutt” method.  He would talk to suppliers, customers, competitors, former employees and others before buying any stock.

Warren Buffett used this exact method in the 1960s with American Express. Buffett believed that “You’ll know more about the industry than most people in it.”

Warren Buffett met Fisher in 1962 in San Francisco. He states that, “I was getting the Fisher doctrine from both sides. It made sense to me.”

Buffett said his investing style is “85% Graham, 15% Fisher.” That 15% is worth over $100 billion today.

Fisher had 15 rules for picking stocks, but one was absolute:

“Invest only in companies where management has integrity.” – Management controls your money. They can benefit themselves at shareholders’ expense. This is the only rule with no exceptions. If management fails, don’t invest.

Fisher shared this investment insights :

Company A pays 5% dividends, grows 7% annually.
Company B pays 2% dividends, grows 26% annually.

After 10 years: Company A dividend = 10% of your original investment.  Company B dividend = 20% of your original investment.

Additionally, Fisher debunked the diversification advice in 1958.

“People over-stress ‘don’t put all your eggs in one basket.'”

Most investors own 15+ stocks they don’t understand.  Fisher owned 4-5 companies he knew completely You can’t properly watch 20 companies with 24 hours per day

Start with 250 companies → Research 50 → screen 3 → Buy 1.

Fisher visited management teams personally before investing.

Fisher looked for companies with natural protection from competition:

-Lower costs when larger

-pricing control

-Hard to copy

-Customers can’t easily switch

-High profitability attracts competition like honey attracts flies.”

You need protection to keep profits.

Fisher’s best research question for competitors:

“Which company in your industry do you fear most, and why?”

If multiple competitors named the same company with respect, that was his target.

When your enemies admit you’re dangerous, you’re probably winning..